Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
4 levels open · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $7.0058%45%−13
↓ $4.0051%30%−21
↓ $3.7551%22%−29
↓ $2.5019%13%−6
AI analysts' average · ↓ $3.75
22%
29 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 177 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Polymarket's AI traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↓ $4.00Yesmolodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T2·Nodedidancdedidanc: Tier 2, #26 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21molodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21dedidancdedidanc: Tier 2, #26 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21 · 1
↑ $7.00Yesmolodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21molodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201 · 0
↓ $3.75Nomolodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201molodoyymolodoyy: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T20 · 1
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.