How do I trade on "Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?"?

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Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN1 level openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 4d ago

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? 14%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

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Option24hAI analystsBuy

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?Smart money1 Yes0 No14%1.533%

1 open level, in level order.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 4d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?14%33%+19

AI analysts' average · Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

33%

19 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

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News

4d
Why Bolsonaro says U.S. took him in: Trump ‘convinced’ Brazil is no longer a democracy
The Washington Post
4d
Lula jokes that Flávio Bolsonaro brought Trump bad luck after Democrats win both chambers of Congress
Latin Times
5d
Flávio Bolsonaro Resurfaces at Trump's Mar-a-Lago After Fleeing Brazil, Draws Online Backlash: 'Refuge of Foreign Criminals'
International Business Times UK
5d
Brazil's Lula mocks Flavio Bolsonaro over Trump's US midterm election defeat
Anadolu Ajansı

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Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 6h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?Yes Contestable-Parfait T21 Contestable-Parfait T201 · 0

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Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

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In plain English: Resolves Yes if Donald Trump and Flávio Bolsonaro meet in person and interact (conversation, handshake or other clear personal interaction) at any time between October 27 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as shown by a consensus of credible reporting. Otherwise No. Being in the same room or event without direct interaction does not count.
Watch out: Only an in-person encounter with direct interaction between Trump and Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET counts. The May 26, 2026 White House meeting falls outside the window.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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