Volodymyr Zelenskyy 31%Mark Rutte 31%Pope Leo XIV 12%Xi Jinping 3%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
12 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Andy BurnhamYesCarCar: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T22CarCar: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T2·smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T202 · 0
Volodymyr ZelenskyyYesCarCar: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21CarCar: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201 · 0
Mark RutteYessmellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201 · 0
Pope Leo XIVYessmellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T21smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201 · 0
Masoud PezeshkianNosmellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T20 · 1
Nicolás MaduroNosmellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T20 · 1
Mojtaba KhameneiNosmellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T201smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry.T20 · 1
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.