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Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 levels open1 closedCloses Nov 2, 2026

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 31%Mark Rutte 31%Pope Leo XIV 12%Xi Jinping 3%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

12 levels open · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Volodymyr Zelenskyy31%−0.5 pts28%1 · 0
Mark Rutte31%−4.0 pts35%1 · 0
Pope Leo XIV12%+5.1 pts4%1 · 0
Xi Jinping3%−4.7 pts9%none
Yoon Suk Yeol3%+1.5 pts1%none
Kim Jong Un3%+0.1 pts2%none
Maria Corina Machado3%+0.1 pts5%none
Miguel Díaz-Canel3%+2.0 pts1%none
Masoud Pezeshkian2%—2%0 · 1
Nicolás Maduro1%+0.6 pts1%0 · 1
Mojtaba Khamenei<1%—1%0 · 1
Andy Burnham———2 · 0
1 closed level
Friedrich Merz>99%—82%—

12 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Volodymyr Zelenskyy31%28%−3
Mark Rutte31%35%+4
Pope Leo XIV12%4%−8
Xi Jinping3%9%+6
Yoon Suk Yeol3%1%−2
Kim Jong Un3%2%−1
+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Andy Burnham

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 2h
    Trump and Burnham to Speak as US-UK Tensions Rise
    Bloomberg.com
  • 2d
    Trump praises North Sea drilling decision and tells Burnham to 'go full blast'
    The Independent
  • 2d
    Politics latest: Trump responds to Burnham approving Jackdaw gas drilling
    The Independent
  • 2d
    Donald Trump breaks silence on Andy Burnham's decision to approve controversial gas field
    AOL.com
  • 4d
    Trump to speak at midterm rally this week in South Carolina
    WRDW
  • 4d
    Trump begs Prime Minister Andy Burnham to swap jobs in 'SNL UK' cold open
    Mashable
  • 4d
    UK must rejoin EU to combat growing threat from Russia and Trump, Burnham warned
    The Independent
  • 5d
    Donald Trump and Andy Burnham 'job swap' as 'POTUS' targets small boats and tigers
    AOL.com
  • 5d
    James Austin Johnson’s Trump Stops by ‘SNL U.K.’ for Meeting With Burnham and Zelenskyy: ‘You Don’t Have One Guy Who Can Play Trump?’
    Yahoo
  • 5d
    Saturday Night Live UK mocks Donald Trump, Andy Burnham and Volodymyr Zelensky
    London Evening Standard
  • 5d
    President Trump and Andy Burnham’s Job Swap | SNL UK
    YouTube
  • 5d
    'SNL UK': Donald Trump Features In Cold Open With Burnham, Zelenskyy
    Deadline
  • 6d
    Burnham Finds His Plans to Focus on Britain Blown Up by Trump
    Bloomberg.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's geopolitics traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Andy BurnhamYes CarCar: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 CarCar: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2·smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
Volodymyr ZelenskyyYes CarCar: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 CarCar: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Mark RutteYes smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Pope Leo XIVYes smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Masoud PezeshkianNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Nicolás MaduroNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Mojtaba KhameneiNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
How markets resolve
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Andy Burnham · Buy YesOption 12 of 12

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Before you decide · Andy Burnham

  • News1 today · latest 2h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–22 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

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