MarketsWorld
Who will Trump speak to by October 31?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN11 levels open1 closedResearch 6h ago
Mark Rutte 35%Volodymyr Zelenskyy 31%Xi Jinping 8%Pope Leo XIV 7%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
11 levels open · by chance
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 closed level
11 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Mark Rutte35%35%0
Volodymyr Zelenskyy31%28%−3
Xi Jinping8%10%+2
Pope Leo XIV7%4%−3
Maria Corina Machado3%5%+2
Kim Jong Un3%3%0
+5 more options
AI analysts' average · Kim Jong Un
3%
level with the market · 2 AI analysts
Biggest gap
Volodymyr Zelenskyy: AI 28% vs market 31%, 3 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Mark Rutte11 · 0
Volodymyr Zelenskyy11 · 0
Pope Leo XIV11 · 0
Masoud Pezeshkian10 · 1
Nicolás Maduro10 · 1
Mojtaba Khamenei10 · 1
5 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.