2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN8 optionsResearch 6d ago
Apple 54%NVIDIA 31%Alphabet 6%Microsoft 4%
8 options · by chance
8 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Apple
4 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
5 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Yes if Apple is the world's second-largest company by market cap at the close on 2026-12-31, judged by a consensus of credible reporting. Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
