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MarketsTech

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN8 optionsCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 8 options

Apple 61%NVIDIA 36%Alphabet 6%Microsoft 3%

8 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Apple61%−5.5 pts60%1 · 0
NVIDIA36%+13.0 pts27%1 · 1
Alphabet6%−1.0 pts13%none
Microsoft3%−0.7 pts2%none
SpaceX<1%−0.1 pts1%none
Tesla———none
Amazon———none
Broadcom———none

8 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Apple61%60%−1
NVIDIA36%27%−9
Alphabet6%13%+7
Microsoft3%2%−1
SpaceX<1%1%0
Tesla———
+2 more options

AI analysts' average · SpaceX

1%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

NVIDIA: AI 27% vs market 36%, 9 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1h
    SpaceX Is Working With Nvidia, Apollo And Other Top Tech And Consulting Firms On A Grok Partnership Program
    Stocktwits
  • 2h
    zeb Joins SpaceX Super Intelligence Partner Network as Official Launch Partner
    prnewswire.com
  • 2h
    Tesla: Valuation Is Key Consideration in Merger Talks With SpaceX
    Morningstar
  • 2h
    Does SpaceX $8 Billion Spectrum Deal Mean Verizon Q3 Earnings Dont Really Matter ?
    247wallst.com
  • 2h
    SpaceX signs up Apollo and Nvidia for a new Grok partner network
    The Next Web
  • 2h
    Elon Musk Confirms Tesla And SpaceX Are Exploring A Massive Merger
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3h
    Why SpaceX Stock Dropped After Earnings
    fool.com
  • 3h
    SpaceX nach den Earnings : Optionsmarkt verschiebt den Start
    finanznachrichten.de
  • 3h
    Tesla , SpaceX merger could create $3 . 5tn giant
    thenews.com.pk
  • 3h
    SpaceX and AST SpaceMobile Sink 6%, Rocket Lab Falls 5% as Tech Selloff Hits High-Flying Space Stocks
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 3h
    Analysts Hike Tesla Price Targets; SpaceX Merger, AI 'In Full Control'
    Investor's Business Daily
  • 3h
    SpaceX Works With Apollo, Nvidia on New Grok Partnership Program
    Bloomberg.com
  • 3h
    SpaceX tower to try to catch Starship booster after first Florida launch
    Florida Today
  • 4h
    Elon Musk Predicts SpaceX Could Reach $1 Trillion in Annual Revenue Run Rate by Year-End 2027. Here's What Needs to Happen.
    The Motley Fool
  • 4h
    Wall Street - Update : Gewinne - SpaceX sorgt für gute Stimmung ()
    aktiencheck.de
  • 4h
    Grte Fusion der Wirtschaftsgeschichte : Tesla und SpaceX prüfen 3 , 5 - Billionen - Deal
    merkur.de
  • 4h
    SpaceX AI launches partner network with names like Nvidia, Databricks, Bain
    TradingView
  • 4h
    SpaceX Just Became an AI Company. The Numbers Prove It.
    Yahoo Finance
  • 5h
    Was Tesla’s Flying Roadster Reveal Just a Big SpaceX Marketing Stunt?
    Autoblog
  • 5h
    Tesla, SpaceX, Meta, IBM, Lam Research, Spotify, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s Market
    Barron's
  • 5h
    SpaceX Just Crushed Wall Street Q3 Targets -- but a Potential Tesla Merger Is Even Bigger News
    fool.com
  • 5h
    A SpaceX-Tesla Merger Feels Inevitable. Is It Actually a Good Deal?
    Barron's
  • 5h
    Elon Musk: SpaceX Revenue Could Hit "Somewhere Between $500 Billion and a Trillion" by 2027
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 6h
    SpaceX Rallied, but These 6 Space Stocks Are Still Waiting for Liftoff
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 6h
    John Malone Predicts a Major Deal Between Skydance and Elon Musk’s SpaceX
    The Hollywood Reporter
  • 6h
    BofA raises SpaceX stock price target to $275 on launch growth
    Investing.com
  • 6h
    SpaceX and Tesla Are Already Joined at the Hip. What a Formal Merger Would Mean.
    WSJ
  • 7h
    Here are Thursday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, Tesla, SpaceX, Meta, CoreWeave, IBM, Block & more
    CNBC
  • 7h
    Elon Musk's public push for SpaceX-Tesla merger is complicating talks
    Quartz
  • 7h
    Tesla and SpaceX Are Trading Like a Merger Is Coming
    Inc.com
  • 7h
    Musk's political baggage clouds prospects for SpaceX-Tesla deal
    Reuters
  • 8h
    Prediction : This Is How Much SpaceX Stock Will Be Worth By the End of 2027
    fool.com
  • 8h
    The biggest hurdle to a SpaceX merger with Tesla isn’t Elon Musk. It’s Tesla’s shareholders
    Fortune
  • 9h
    A Tesla-SpaceX Merger Would Make a Daunting Foe — For Now
    Bloomberg.com
  • 9h
    Elon Musk’s SpaceX-Tesla merger math doesn’t add up
    Fortune
  • 9h
    SpaceX Is Set to Make Dubious History Yet Again, With Retail Investors Paying the Price
    The Motley Fool
  • 9h
    Behind Elon Musk’s plans for a mega-merger of SpaceX and Tesla
    Los Angeles Times
  • 9h
    Tesla and SpaceX merger talks are real. Here are the pros and cons investors need to weigh.
    Business Insider
  • 9h
    Elon Musk wants kids to own a piece of SpaceX. See other times governments and the wealthy gifted stock.
    Business Insider
  • 9h
    A SpaceX-Tesla merger: The ins, outs, and what-have-yous
    Fortune
  • 10h
    SpaceX-Tesla Merger Could Create a Frankenstein's Monster Wall Street Can't Value
    Business Insider
  • 11h
    EXPLAINER - From EVs to Mars : What a Tesla - SpaceX merger could mean
    aa.com.tr
  • 12h
    Elon Musk's dream merger is a nightmare for SpaceX shareholders
    fortune.com
  • 15h
    Musk's public endorsement of SpaceX-Tesla deal may throw a wrench in talks
    www.reuters.com
  • 15h
    SpaceX confirms Starship 15 launch window with massive ambitions
    Teslarati
  • 18h
    Dow Jones Top Markets Headlines at 9 PM ET: SpaceX, Anthropic and Nvidia Help Snap Tech Stocks Out of Their Recent Malaise | Canada ...
    Moomoo
  • 1d
    Musk's proposed SpaceX stock giveaway would go into 'Trump Accounts'
    www.theverge.com
  • 1d
    Why is Elon Musk plotting a mega-merger of SpaceX and Tesla?
    www.bbc.com
  • 1d
    SpaceX and Tesla have formed committees to discuss potential merger, Musk
    www.cnn.com
  • 1d
    SpaceX revenue soars 161% as AI business grows
    abcnews.com
  • 1d
    Musk calls Tesla-SpaceX merger a 'good idea'
    www.reuters.com
  • 1d
    Tesla and SpaceX have set up committees to explore a merger
    www.businessinsider.com
  • 1d
    SpaceX's data centre deals boost revenue by 161%
    www.ft.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
NVIDIA21 · 1
Apple11 · 0

6 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 8 options

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Related Markets

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

SpaceX · Buy YesOption 5 of 8

Polymarket price · live

Yes1¢
No100¢
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Before you decide · SpaceX

  • News46 today · latest 1h
  • AI analysts1% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.