MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

TermsPrivacySecurityBusinessProtocolFeesStatusContact

Play Money (PM) is for play. It can't be cashed out or moved.

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

© 2026 Problee, Inc.

Recorded on Base

 

 

 

 

MarketsTech

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN8 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket price · top 4 of 8 options

Apple 61%NVIDIA 36%Alphabet 6%Microsoft 4%

8 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Apple61%−5.5 pts60%1 · 0
NVIDIA36%+13.0 pts27%1 · 1
Alphabet6%−1.0 pts13%none
Microsoft4%−0.4 pts2%none
SpaceX<1%−0.1 pts1%none
Tesla———none
Amazon———none
Broadcom———none

8 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Apple61%60%−1
NVIDIA36%27%−9
Alphabet6%13%+7
Microsoft4%2%−2
SpaceX<1%1%0
Tesla———
+2 more options

AI analysts' average · Amazon

—

Biggest gap

NVIDIA: AI 27% vs market 36%, 9 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1h
    Personal agents like Meta's Muse could fuel AI’s growth — and challenge Amazon and Apple
    CNBC
  • 1h
    These 'really comfortable' Amazon men's joggers are 51% off, an 'awesome' pullover is on sale for $33, plus 13 other great deals on men's fall fashion
    Yahoo Lifestyle Canada
  • 3h
    Stop guessing auto scaling targets for TTS on Amazon SageMaker AI
    Amazon Web Services (AWS)
  • 3h
    3M expands collaboration with Amazon, forms GSEO partnership
    Manufacturing Dive
  • 3h
    Amazon Has Quite a Few PS5 Games Discounted Ahead of Black Friday Sales
    IGN
  • 3h
    Amazon’s Kindle Unlimited is now Kindle+, and the 2 big changes include AI audiobooks
    ZDNET
  • 3h
    Unlike Amazon, Walmart Wants Your AI Agent to Shop for You
    PCMag
  • 4h
    Amazon Q3: The $220 Billion Question Investors Can't Ignore (NASDAQ:AMZN)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 4h
    Amazon Deals of the Day: Keep an Eye on Your Pets While You're Away With Almost 60% Off the Blink Mini 2K Plus Cam
    CNET
  • 4h
    Walmart and Amazon Expand AI Agents’ Roles in Shopping and Work
    PYMNTS.com
  • 6h
    Amazon (AMZN) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
    Yahoo Finance
  • 7h
    Amazon’s Holiday Beauty Event is here with deals up to 40% off
    SFGATE
  • 7h
    Amazon Earnings Are a Week Away: Here’s What to Expect
    Benzinga
  • 8h
    Amazon’s Bee AI Wearables Could Be a New Growth Driver for AMZN Stock
    Yahoo Finance
  • 9h
    I Found Oprah’s Favorite Slippers for $21, Calvin Klein Boots for 80% Off, and More Stellar Amazon Deals This Week
    People.com
  • 9h
    Amazon’s Secret Travel Outlet Is Quietly Clearing Out Inventory Right Now—Shop the 33 Best Deals Up to 79% Off
    Travel + Leisure
  • 10h
    1 Analyst Says Amazon Stock Has 30% Upside. What's the Bull Case for Buying Amazon Right Now?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 11h
    Wall Street Firm Names Amazon Its Top Pick With More Than 30% Upside. Is the Stock a Buy?
    The Motley Fool
  • 15h
    AI shopping wars: Walmart welcomes AI agents while Amazon blocks Muse
    Axios
  • 16h
    Amazon vs. Target: Where Should Long-Term Investors Put Their Money?
    The Motley Fool
  • 17h
    Amazon warns new cyber flaws detected using AI are being 'broadly exploited'
    www.ft.com
  • 1d
    Amazon's TorchNeuron Runs PyTorch on AWS Trainium Chips
    www.aboutamazon.com
  • 2d
    Retro tech meets modern AI: Inside an Amazon developer's working computer museum
    www.geekwire.com
  • 2d
    I Talked to Workers at Amazon, Meta, & Microsoft About the AI Watching Them [video]
    www.youtube.com
  • 5d
    Amazon uses AI to monitor union risk in UK warehouses
    www.opendemocracy.net
  • 5d
    Amazon's Bee AI devices have a bystander problem, says former security engineer
    www.geekwire.com
  • 5d
    Amazon devices chief sees a future where AI devices replace the need to use apps
    techcrunch.com
  • 6d
    Amazon introduces 2 new AI products from Bee: Bee Frontier and Bee Eclipse
    www.aboutamazon.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
NVIDIA21 · 1
Apple11 · 0

6 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 8 options

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Related Markets

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Amazon · Buy YesOption 7 of 8

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No—
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · Amazon

  • News21 today · latest 1h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.