Ballon d'Or 2026: 2nd Place
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 options17 closedResearch 1d ago
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0 options · by chance
17 closed options
0 options trading, by chance. +30 more on Polymarket
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AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Kylian Mbappé
39 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 2 level, 0 price closer, on 394–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Kylian Mbappé resolves Yes if he finishes 2nd in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking, as published by France Football/UEFA (the official announcement, or a consensus of credible reporting). Ties for 2nd go by France Football's official ranking, then alphabetically by name. If no ranking is published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 'Other', and Kylian Mbappé resolves No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.