MarketsMovies & TV
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN13 levels openResearch 6d ago
Disclosure Day 67%Dune: Part Three 66%The Black Ball 64%Project Hail Mary 54%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
13 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
13 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
The Odyssey90%90%0
Disclosure Day67%70%+3
Dune: Part Three66%62%−4
The Black Ball64%66%+2
Project Hail Mary54%55%+1
Behemoth!30%22%−8
+7 more options
AI analysts' average · The Odyssey
90%
level with the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 312 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Disclosure DayYes wolfmoonwolfmoon: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 wolfmoonwolfmoon: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 2
Behemoth!Yes GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No QR1QR1: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 QR1QR1: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 · 1
Wild Horse NineYes sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No wolfmoonwolfmoon: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 wolfmoonwolfmoon: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 2
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff BoothYes title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 jimmer-fredettejimmer-fredette: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 · 1
Dune: Part ThreeYes GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
The Mandalorian and GroguYes sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
The OdysseyYes sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
The Black BallYes sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 sweetjsweetj: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Project Hail MaryNo title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
WhalefallYes GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 GaditimaGaditima: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
The Social ReckoningNo title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 title1title1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
2 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Yes if 'The Odyssey' receives a nomination for Best Original Score when the 99th Academy Award nominees are announced (scheduled 2027-01-21; ceremony 2027-03-14). If it isn't nominated, or no nominations are declared by 2027-03-14 11:59 PM ET, it resolves No.
- Resolution criteria
- The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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