Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 levels open25 closedResearch 1d ago
Creator-reported score
This captured game score is the creator’s evidence. The market verdict is shown separately.
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Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
0 levels open · in level order
25 closed levels
0 open levels, in level order. +25 more on Polymarket
The calls
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · Michael Owen
28 pts below the market · 3 AI analysts
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 3 level, 0 price closer, on 359–545 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Rules
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- In plain English
- Michael Owen resolves Yes if Michael Owen is in physical attendance during any part of the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony, scheduled for October 26, 2026 in London. Otherwise it resolves No. It also resolves No if the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The source is a consensus of credible reporting.
- Resolution criteria
- The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.