P&L: Polymarket's own P&L for this account, all markets.Plus
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
By segmentPlus
Open positions on Kellian markets
| Market | Side | Shares | Value | Entry | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 40,312 | $39,284 | 96¢ | 97¢ |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 32,199 | $30,106 | 87¢ | 94¢ |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 20,394 | $19,935 | 98¢ | 98¢ |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 18,932 | $17,796 | 90¢ | 94¢ |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 4,082 | $3,958 | 93¢ | 97¢ |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,906 | $3,830 | 78¢ | 98¢ |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 3,999 | $2,619 | 63¢ | 66¢ |
Recent movesPlus
Trading stylePlus
Markouts: How far the price moved after this trader's buys, in points (1 pt = 1¢), from the price they paid. 10M: median of their taker buys. 1D and 1W: size-weighted average of all their buys. Last 3 months.Plus
How far the price moved after their buys, in points (1 pt = 1¢): +2 pts at 1 day means the price was 2¢ above what they paid a day later. Above zero is their way.
Weekly P&L: Profit and loss of the whole account for each complete week (Monday to Sunday, UTC), with open positions at market price.Plus
Their profit or loss in dollars in each week: a column above zero is a week they made money, below zero a week they lost.
Calibration: How often their positions paid out, compared with the price they paid. Markets settled in the last 3 months.Plus
When they paid 30¢, did those positions pay out about 30% of the time? Each dot is price paid against how often it paid out; above the diagonal means more often than the price said.