MarketsGeopolitics
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 level openResearch 6d ago
Iran Nuke before 2027? 3%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
1 level open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 option trading.
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Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes meagainsttheworldmeagainsttheworld: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No touriststourists: Tier 2, #26 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 meagainsttheworldmeagainsttheworld: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 touriststourists: Tier 2, #26 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise resolves No.
- Watch out
- The trigger is official confirmation that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; enriched uranium alone does not meet that condition.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
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