MarketsCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN18 levels open9 closedResearch 1h ago
↓ 70,000 71%↑ 75,000 63%↓ 67,500 42%↑ 77,500 34%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
18 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsBuy
↑ 77,500Smart money1 Yes1 No34%25.080%
↑ 75,000Smart money1 Yes0 No63%31.077%
9 closed levels
18 options trading. +7 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 100,000<1%1%0
↑ 97,500<1%1%0
↑ 95,000<1%1%0
↑ 92,5001%1%0
↑ 90,0003%3%0
↑ 87,5004%6%+2
+12 more options
AI analysts' average · ↑ 80,000
32%
12 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 2,026 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Your forecast on ↑ 80,000
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↑ 90,000Yes KongXKongX: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 6 KongXKongX: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 5 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #19 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 6 · 5
↓ 65,000Yes har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T27 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 · 7
↓ 67,500Yes TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No MarioyMarioy: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1superbay2222superbay2222: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 5 MarioyMarioy: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 5
↑ 85,000Yes KongXKongX: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 KongXKongX: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2No-89757No-89757: Tier 2, #34 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 4
↑ 82,500Yes TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No floatingraftfloatingraft: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 floatingraftfloatingraft: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T110Alexander32110Alexander321: Tier 2, #24 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 4
↓ 70,000Yes TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No -Yang--Yang-: Tier 2, #45 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T25 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 -Yang--Yang-: Tier 2, #45 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T25 · 1
↑ 92,500Yes Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1brainrotMaxxerbrainrotMaxxer: Tier 2, #25 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2gt197gt197: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 3
↑ 87,500Yes KongXKongX: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No superbay2222superbay2222: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 KongXKongX: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 3 superbay2222superbay2222: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2gt197gt197: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 3
↓ 62,500Yes TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T14 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1MarioyMarioy: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 · 4
↑ 95,000Yes brainrotMaxxerbrainrotMaxxer: Tier 2, #25 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 brainrotMaxxerbrainrotMaxxer: Tier 2, #25 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T23 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2BelgaronBelgaron: Tier 2, #32 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 3
↑ 80,000Yes TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No iagoWFLDiagoWFLD: Tier 2, #30 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 TokorTokor: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T13 iagoWFLDiagoWFLD: Tier 2, #30 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2gt197gt197: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 3
↓ 60,000No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 03 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 0 · 3
↑ 77,500Yes gt197gt197: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 gt197gt197: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 · 1
↓ 57,500No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2gt197gt197: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 0 · 2
↑ 100,000No gt197gt197: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 gt197gt197: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
↑ 97,500Yes brainrotMaxxerbrainrotMaxxer: Tier 2, #25 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 brainrotMaxxerbrainrotMaxxer: Tier 2, #25 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
↑ 75,000Yes gt197gt197: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 gt197gt197: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
↓ 55,000No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #12 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- ↑ 80,000 resolves Yes if Bitcoin reaches (for ↑ options) or dips to (for ↓ options) that price at any time during November 2026, and otherwise No. The market's own rules give no named data source beyond the question itself; trading ends Dec 1, 2026, 00:00 EST.
- Watch out
- The rules are only the question title, with no stated source, price type or time zone, so the exact measure of 'hit' (for example intraday high or low, or a close) is not defined in the rules.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Sign in to comment
