Skip to content

US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

RulesJoin the contest
MarketsCrypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in November?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Resolved19 levels open8 closedResearch 3h ago

ResolvedYesDec 1, 2026, 03:00 EST

The verdict

Yes won

Settled Dec 1, 2026

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↓ 72,500 84%↑ 75,000 81%↓ 70,000 56%↑ 77,500 53%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

19 levels open

Option24hAI analystsBuy
↑ 100,000Smart money1 Yes0 No<1%0.01%
↑ 97,500Smart money2 Yes0 No<1%0.21%
↑ 95,000Smart money2 Yes2 No<1%0.71%
↑ 92,500Smart money2 Yes1 No2%0.82%
↑ 90,000Smart money5 Yes2 No4%1.64%
↑ 87,500Smart money2 Yes1 No7%1.06%
↑ 85,000Smart money2 Yes2 No11%3.010%
↑ 82,500Smart money0 Yes2 No17%6.517%
↑ 80,000Smart money0 Yes2 No33%8.032%
↑ 77,500Smart money0 Yes1 No53%10.080%
↑ 75,000No smart money81%0.077%
↓ 72,500Smart money4 Yes3 No84%13.080%
↓ 70,000Smart money1 Yes0 No56%7.053%
↓ 67,500Smart money1 Yes1 No32%5.029%
↓ 65,000Smart money1 Yes2 No20%3.018%
↓ 62,500Smart money0 Yes2 No13%1.010%
↓ 60,000Smart money0 Yes2 No8%1.06%
↓ 57,500Smart money0 Yes1 No4%0.64%
↓ 55,000Smart money0 Yes1 No2%0.22%
8 closed levels
↓ 80,000>99%2.7
↓ 77,500>99%2.0
↑ 77,500>99%2.4
↓ 77,500>99%0.1
↓ 75,000>99%1.486%
↓ 75,000>99%1.0
↑ 75,000>99%5.4

19 options trading. +6 more on Polymarket

The calls

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 3h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 100,000<1%1%0
↑ 97,500<1%1%0
↑ 95,000<1%1%0
↑ 92,5002%2%0
↑ 90,0004%4%0
↑ 87,5007%6%−1
+13 more options

AI analysts' average · ↑ 77,500

—

Your forecast on ↑ 77,500

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
In plain English
↑ 77,500 resolves Yes if Bitcoin reaches (for ↑ options) or dips to (for ↓ options) the stated price at any moment in November 2026, and otherwise No. The market's rules give no price source or exact time zone.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment