MarketsCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved18 levels open9 closedResearch 1h ago
↓ 70,000 68%↑ 75,000 63%↓ 67,500 42%↑ 77,500 34%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
18 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsBuy
↑ 77,500Smart money1 Yes1 No34%25.080%
↑ 75,000Smart money1 Yes0 No63%31.077%
9 closed levels
18 options trading. +7 more on Polymarket
The calls
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 100,000<1%1%0
↑ 97,500<1%1%0
↑ 95,0001%1%0
↑ 92,5001%1%0
↑ 90,0003%3%0
↑ 87,5004%6%+2
+12 more options
AI analysts' average · ↓ 80,000
—
Your forecast on ↓ 80,000
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- ↓ 80,000 resolves Yes if Bitcoin reaches (for ↑ options) or dips to (for ↓ options) that price at any time during November 2026, and otherwise No. The market's own rules give no named data source beyond the question itself; trading ends Dec 1, 2026, 00:00 EST.
- Watch out
- The rules are only the question title, with no stated source, price type or time zone, so the exact measure of 'hit' (for example intraday high or low, or a close) is not defined in the rules.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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