MarketsCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in November?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN19 levels open8 closedResearch 3h ago
↓ 72,500 85%↑ 75,000 81%↓ 70,000 56%↑ 77,500 53%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
19 levels open
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsBuy
↑ 77,500Smart money0 Yes1 No53%10.080%
↑ 75,000No smart money81%0.077%
8 closed levels
19 options trading. +6 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 100,000<1%1%0
↑ 97,500<1%1%0
↑ 95,000<1%1%0
↑ 92,5002%2%0
↑ 90,0004%4%0
↑ 87,5007%6%−1
+13 more options
AI analysts' average · ↓ 70,000
53%
3 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 1,808 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Your forecast on ↓ 70,000
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↑ 90,000Yes KongXKongX: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 5 KongXKongX: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #21 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 5 · 2
↓ 72,500Yes beheo123beheo123: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No Carry99Carry99: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 beheo123beheo123: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1superbay2222superbay2222: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 Carry99Carry99: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1bitterfishbitterfish: Tier 1, #5 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 4 · 3
↑ 95,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2brainrotMaxxerbrainrotMaxxer: Tier 2, #25 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2BelgaronBelgaron: Tier 2, #38 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 2
↑ 85,000Yes KongXKongX: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 KongXKongX: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 2 har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2No-89757No-89757: Tier 2, #43 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 · 2
↑ 92,500Yes Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1brainrotMaxxerbrainrotMaxxer: Tier 2, #25 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 · 1
↑ 87,500Yes KongXKongX: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No superbay2222superbay2222: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 KongXKongX: Tier 1, #3 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 superbay2222superbay2222: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 · 1
↓ 65,000Yes har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b: Tier 2, #41 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 2
↑ 97,500Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 2 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2brainrotMaxxerbrainrotMaxxer: Tier 2, #25 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 · 0
↑ 82,500No floatingraftfloatingraft: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 floatingraftfloatingraft: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T210Alexander32110Alexander321: Tier 2, #28 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 0 · 2
↑ 80,000No floatingraftfloatingraft: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 floatingraftfloatingraft: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2iagoWFLDiagoWFLD: Tier 2, #36 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 0 · 2
↓ 67,500Yes superbay2222superbay2222: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No 0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b: Tier 2, #41 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 superbay2222superbay2222: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b: Tier 2, #41 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
↓ 62,500No Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b: Tier 2, #41 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 0 · 2
↓ 60,000No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 02 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b0xce835747e39BF987dE4c04052b1677E6633E5b: Tier 2, #41 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 0 · 2
↑ 100,000Yes 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F0x765550C1F0Af33254a2Ac826710D33A4410c1F: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
↑ 77,500No Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
↓ 70,000Yes har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 har-gowhar-gow: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
↓ 57,500No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
↓ 55,000No LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 LuckyCholeLuckyChole: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- ↓ 70,000 resolves Yes if Bitcoin reaches (for ↑ options) or dips to (for ↓ options) the stated price at any moment in November 2026, and otherwise No. The market's rules give no price source or exact time zone.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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