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MarketsTech

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN8 optionsCloses Nov 2, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 8 options

Apple 65%NVIDIA 21%Alphabet <1%Microsoft <1%

8 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Apple65%−24.0 pts72%3 · 0
NVIDIA21%+10.7 pts13%1 · 1
Alphabet<1%—2%none
Microsoft<1%—1%none
Saudi Aramco<1%—1%none
Amazon———none
Broadcom———none
SpaceX———none

8 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Apple65%72%+7
NVIDIA21%13%−8
Alphabet<1%2%+1
Microsoft<1%1%+1
Saudi Aramco<1%1%+1
Amazon———
+2 more options

AI analysts' average · Amazon

—

Biggest gap

NVIDIA: AI 13% vs market 21%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 5h
    Walmart and Amazon Expand AI Agents’ Roles in Shopping and Work
    PYMNTS.com
  • 6h
    Here’s How Much You Would Have Made Owning Amazon.com Stock In The Last 10 Years
    Benzinga
  • 6h
    Calvert Wasn't Consulted on Constellation-Amazon Power Deal -
    - SoMD Chronicle
  • 6h
    Amazon.com Inc Stock (AMZN) Opened Down by 3.50% on Oct 22: Facts Behind the Movement
    TradingKey
  • 7h
    Amazon (AMZN) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
    Yahoo Finance
  • 7h
    Amazon’s Holiday Beauty Event is here with deals up to 40% off
    SFGATE
  • 8h
    Amazon Earnings Are a Week Away: Here’s What to Expect
    Benzinga
  • 9h
    Retail twist: Walmart allows outside AI agents to shop, while Amazon blocks them (WMT:NASDAQ)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 9h
    How Close Are We to the Amazon’s Tipping Point? New MAAP Report Reveals 15% of the Amazon’s Original Forest Lost, Flying River Routes to the Southwest Are Most Affected
    AZoCleantech
  • 9h
    I Found Oprah’s Favorite Slippers for $21, Calvin Klein Boots for 80% Off, and More Stellar Amazon Deals This Week
    People.com
  • 10h
    Unlike Amazon, Walmart Wants Your AI Agent to Shop for You
    PCMag
  • 10h
    Amazon’s Secret Travel Outlet Is Quietly Clearing Out Inventory Right Now—Shop the 33 Best Deals Up to 79% Off
    Travel + Leisure
  • 10h
    Amazon Is Hiding a Secret Stash of Weekend Deals Just for Prime Members—These 25 Finds Are All Under $50
    Real Simple
  • 11h
    Best Pokémon TCG deal: 30th Celebration Elite Trainer Box is under market price on Amazon
    Mashable
  • 11h
    1 Analyst Says Amazon Stock Has 30% Upside. What's the Bull Case for Buying Amazon Right Now?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 12h
    Wall Street Firm Names Amazon Its Top Pick With More Than 30% Upside. Is the Stock a Buy?
    The Motley Fool
  • 13h
    Amazon: Q3 Could Deliver The AI Beat Nobody’s Pricing In (NASDAQ:AMZN)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 16h
    AI shopping wars: Walmart welcomes AI agents while Amazon blocks Muse
    Axios
  • 17h
    Amazon vs. Target: Where Should Long-Term Investors Put Their Money?
    The Motley Fool
  • 18h
    Walmart’s Latest Plan to Beat Amazon Is to Let Your AI Agent Shop for You
    Inc.com
  • 21h
    Amazon’s Loudoun data center reversal: How the deal came together, and why some supervisors are wary
    WUSA9
  • 1d
    While Amazon blocks AI agents, Walmart rolls out the welcome mat
    TechCrunch
  • 1d
    Amazon warns new cyber flaws detected using AI are being 'broadly exploited'
    www.ft.com
  • 1d
    Amazon Q3: A $496 Billion Backlog And Negative Free Cash Flow (NASDAQ:AMZN)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 1d
    Amazon's TorchNeuron Runs PyTorch on AWS Trainium Chips
    www.aboutamazon.com
  • 1d
    County strikes deal with Amazon to avoid data centers on GWU's Loudoun campus
    Loudoun Times
  • 1d
    3M expands Amazon data center partnership, shares gain
    Reuters
  • 2d
    Google has joined Amazon in attacking Nvidia’s stronghold with AI app developers
    TechCrunch
  • 2d
    Amazon’s Holiday Beauty Event Seen on TODAY: Save 32% on Editor-Approved Deals
    TODAY.com
  • 2d
    Retro tech meets modern AI: Inside an Amazon developer's working computer museum
    www.geekwire.com
  • 2d
    I Talked to Workers at Amazon, Meta, & Microsoft About the AI Watching Them [video]
    www.youtube.com
  • 3d
    Amazon says its AI chips will work with popular coding language, challenging Nvidia
    Reuters
  • 5d
    Amazon uses AI to monitor union risk in UK warehouses
    www.opendemocracy.net
  • 5d
    Amazon's Bee AI devices have a bystander problem, says former security engineer
    www.geekwire.com
  • 5d
    Amazon devices chief sees a future where AI devices replace the need to use apps
    techcrunch.com
  • 6d
    Amazon introduces 2 new AI products from Bee: Bee Frontier and Bee Eclipse
    www.aboutamazon.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Apple33 · 0
NVIDIA21 · 1

6 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 8 options

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Related Markets

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Amazon · Buy YesOption 6 of 8

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No—
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Amazon

  • News21 today · latest 5h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.