MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

TermsPrivacySecurityBusinessProtocolFeesStatusContact

Play Money (PM) is for play. It can't be cashed out or moved.

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

© 2026 Problee, Inc.

Recorded on Base

 

 

 

 

MarketsTech

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN8 optionsCloses Nov 2, 2026Research 4h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 8 options

Apple 72%NVIDIA 21%Alphabet <1%Microsoft <1%

8 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Apple72%−17.0 pts72%3 · 0
NVIDIA21%+10.0 pts13%1 · 1
Alphabet<1%+0.1 pts2%none
Microsoft<1%—1%none
Saudi Aramco<1%—1%none
Amazon———none
Broadcom———none
SpaceX———none

8 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 4h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Apple72%72%0
NVIDIA21%13%−8
Alphabet<1%2%+1
Microsoft<1%1%+1
Saudi Aramco<1%1%+1
Amazon———
+2 more options

AI analysts' average · Microsoft

1%

1 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

NVIDIA: AI 13% vs market 21%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 4h
    PLA Partners with Microsoft on Library AI Info Sessions
    Publishers Weekly
  • 5h
    Google and Microsoft Are Giving AI Agents Work Accounts. Who’s Going to Manage Them?
    Inc.com
  • 5h
    Microsoft Says Chinese Hackers Used AI Tool To Breach ConnectWise, Target Hundreds Of Organisations
    NDTV Profit
  • 5h
    How much MSFT stock does Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella actually own?
    TheStreet
  • 5h
    Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon Now Make Up 30.8% of VOO and 49.2% of VUG. Here's a Better Low-Cost Vanguard ETF to Buy Now.
    The Motley Fool
  • 5h
    Microsoft says China-aligned hackers used AI agents in ConnectWise attack
    The Next Web
  • 6h
    ModelOp Takes Control of Enterprise AI Agent Sprawl with Expanded Microsoft and Amazon Integrations
    Yahoo Finance
  • 6h
    Meta Falls 3% as Higher AI Spending Outlook Overshadows Earnings Beat; Alphabet Dips, Microsoft Holds Steady
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 7h
    Boehringer Microsoft partner AI-backed clinical development
    Boehringer Ingelheim
  • 7h
    China-linked hackers used agentic AI in attack on 2,250 Microsoft 365 tenants
    CSO Online
  • 8h
    Oracle Vs. Microsoft: How The Wildcard AI Spender Plans to Disrupt
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 8h
    Microsoft is Creating a $700 Billion Moat With Its AI Spend Through 2030
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 8h
    Microsoft: Chinese State Actor Used AI to Compromise ConnectWise Tenants
    Infosecurity Magazine
  • 8h
    Microsoft may finally let you turn off some of Edge’s AI. But don’t celebrate yet
    Digital Trends
  • 8h
    NFL Week 7 predictions by Microsoft Copilot AI for every game
    USA Today
  • 9h
    Microsoft Stock Is Up 10% This Year. Is It Still a Buy Ahead of Earnings?
    Morningstar
  • 10h
    Satya Nadella Says Microsoft Is Rebuilding Around AI Agents as Trump Pushes ‘Super Intelligence’ — From 1
    Benzinga
  • 15h
    Microsoft (MSFT) Stock May Be 22% Undervalued After Maia 300 Unveiling
    Yahoo Finance
  • 17h
    Merck Collaborates with NVIDIA, Microsoft and Dawn Health to Develop Novel Support Model for People Living with Rare Tumors
    BioSpace
  • 19h
    Ex-Marine and Microsoft vets launch Watchtower Labs with $35M to bring AI to military logistics
    GeekWire
  • 22h
    Boeing, Microsoft Aim AI at Airlines’ $3.1 Billion Repair Bill
    PYMNTS.com
  • 22h
    Microsoft: Treat AI agents as insider threats
    CSO Online
  • 23h
    Opella, Microsoft partner on AI platform for health content review
    MobiHealthNews
  • 1d
    Microsoft Must Say This on Oct. 28 or the Stock Will Go Into Free Fall
    The Motley Fool
  • 1d
    Microsoft and Alphabet opt out of tokenized stocks in latest blow to ambitious plan from OKX and NYSE parent firm
    Fortune
  • 1d
    Nvidia vs. Microsoft: Is NVDA’s Explosive Growth Being Undervalued?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    OpenAI to bring AI models to Google's cloud, in further expansion beyond Microsoft
    CNBC
  • 1d
    Citi Sees Amazon, Microsoft, Google and Meta Spending More Than Apple Is Worth on AI by 2030
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 1d
    Nvidia-Backed Pigment Raises $250 Million to Take on Microsoft
    Bloomberg.com
  • 1d
    Boeing, Microsoft Reveal AI Aircraft Platform, FAA Certifies 737 Max 10
    Investor's Business Daily
  • 2d
    Microsoft Weighs 12-Inch Budget Surface With AMD Arm Chip to Take On Apple's $599 MacBook Neo
    BigGo Finance
  • 2d
    This week's 12 best laptop deals in the US and the UK — my top picks from Lenovo, Apple, Microsoft, Asus, and Acer
    TechRadar
  • 2d
    The non-gamer CEO racing to save Microsoft’s Xbox
    Fortune
  • 2d
    Microsoft, Alphabet and Goldman Sachs join objections to OKX-ICE tokenized stock trading
    CoinDesk
  • 2d
    Running Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024 on Apple Silicon Without Rosetta
    gethighball.com
  • 2d
    Microsoft accounts for 33 pc of brand phishing attacks in Q3, Apple, Google trail
    ET BrandEquity
  • 2d
    I Talked to Workers at Amazon, Meta, & Microsoft About the AI Watching Them [video]
    www.youtube.com
  • 2d
    Microsoft says AI agents are like insider threats as ‘frontier models can’t be trusted’
    TechCrunch
  • 3d
    Microsoft pulls out of UK's largest AI data centre
    www.bbc.co.uk
  • 3d
    Microsoft, Apple, Google, LinkedIn and Amazon Lead Phishing Attacks in Q3 2026: Check Point Research
    InfotechLead
  • 3d
    Microsoft Scraps UK Data Center Deal With Nscale, Telegraph Says
    Bloomberg.com
  • 3d
    Microsoft unveils tools to monitor and corral rogue AI agents
    GeekWire
  • 3d
    Cybercriminals favor Microsoft over Apple and Google in brand phishing attacks
    Help Net Security
  • 4d
    Microsoft drops AI datacentre project in Essex over power supply concerns
    www.theguardian.com
  • 4d
    Own VGT? Here's How Much of It Is Really Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, and Broadcom.
    The Motley Fool
  • 4d
    Microsoft pulls out of UK Nscale data centre deal over power delay
    Reuters
  • 5d
    Microsoft AI chief says the company beat OpenAI's models, using less compute
    www.businessinsider.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Apple33 · 0
NVIDIA21 · 1

6 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 8 options

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Related Markets

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Microsoft · Buy YesOption 4 of 8

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No100¢
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · Microsoft

  • News23 today · latest 4h
  • AI analysts1% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.