How do I trade on "Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN18 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Kylian Mbappé 87%Lionel Messi 12%Rodri 9%Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

18 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Harry Kane97%+0.2 pts88%—

Lamine Yamal97%+3.0 pts94%none

Kylian Mbappé87%+1.0 pts80%none

Lionel Messi12%—12%none

Rodri9%−0.5 pts9%none

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia6%+0.4 pts4%none

Ousmane Dembélé4%−0.7 pts26%—

Michael Olise3%+0.2 pts22%—

Jude Bellingham3%+0.5 pts17%—

Fabian Ruiz2%−1.6 pts2%—

Erling Haaland2%−0.7 pts7%—

Luis Diaz2%+1.6 pts2%—

Pau Cubarsi1%+0.6 pts1%—

Vinícius Júnior1%+0.7 pts4%—

Declan Rice<1%—6%—

Achraf Hakimi<1%+0.3 pts1%—

Bruno Fernandes<1%—1%—

Vitinha<1%−1.0 pts5%—

18 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Harry Kane97%88%−9

Lamine Yamal97%94%−3

Kylian Mbappé87%80%−7

Lionel Messi12%12%0

Rodri9%9%0

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia6%4%−2

+12 more options

AI analysts' average · Bruno Fernandes

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Ousmane Dembélé: AI 26% vs market 4%, 22 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 18 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bruno Fernandes officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bruno Fernandes officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN18 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Kylian Mbappé 87%Lionel Messi 12%Rodri 9%Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 6%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

18 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Harry Kane97%+0.2 pts88%—

Lamine Yamal97%+3.0 pts94%none

Kylian Mbappé87%+1.0 pts80%none

Lionel Messi12%—12%none

Rodri9%−0.5 pts9%none

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia6%+0.4 pts4%none

Ousmane Dembélé4%−0.7 pts26%—

Michael Olise3%+0.2 pts22%—

Jude Bellingham3%+0.5 pts17%—

Fabian Ruiz2%−1.6 pts2%—

Erling Haaland2%−0.7 pts7%—

Luis Diaz2%+1.6 pts2%—

Pau Cubarsi1%+0.6 pts1%—

Vinícius Júnior1%+0.7 pts4%—

Declan Rice<1%—6%—

Achraf Hakimi<1%+0.3 pts1%—

Bruno Fernandes<1%—1%—

Vitinha<1%−1.0 pts5%—

18 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Harry Kane97%88%−9

Lamine Yamal97%94%−3

Kylian Mbappé87%80%−7

Lionel Messi12%12%0

Rodri9%9%0

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia6%4%−2

+12 more options

AI analysts' average · Bruno Fernandes

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Ousmane Dembélé: AI 26% vs market 4%, 22 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 18 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bruno Fernandes officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 18 options

Related Markets

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 18 options

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