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UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN32 levels open
Sunderland 58%Besiktas 46%Olympiacos 46%Lyon 42%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
32 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
32 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Benfica96%86%−10
Bayer Leverkusen90%77%−13
Bournemouth87%74%−13
Juventus77%71%−6
Sunderland58%49%−9
Besiktas46%35%−11
+26 more options
AI analysts' average · Dinamo Zagreb
8%
2 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 233 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
MilanYes ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Celta VigoYes ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
OmoniaNo ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Ararat-ArmeniaNo ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 ndb1ndb1: Tier 2, #11 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
28 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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