How do I trade on "Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 2 levels nearest 50%

Above 4.5% 16%Above 5% 8%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

2 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Above 4.5%16%+1.5 pts23%—

Above 5%8%−2.0 pts5%—

2 options trading. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Above 4.5%16%23%+7

Above 5%8%5%−3

AI analysts' average · Above 5%

3 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Above 4.5%: AI 23% vs market 16%, 7 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN2 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 2 levels nearest 50%

Above 4.5% 16%Above 5% 8%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

2 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Above 4.5%16%+1.5 pts23%—

Above 5%8%−2.0 pts5%—

2 options trading. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Above 4.5%16%23%+7

Above 5%8%5%−3

AI analysts' average · Above 5%

3 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Above 4.5%: AI 23% vs market 16%, 7 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 2 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

How high will inflation get in 2026?

1AI analysts

Related Markets

How high will inflation get in 2026?

1AI analysts

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts