How do I trade on "Will Javier Bardem be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN19 levels openCloses Jan 21, 2027Research 58m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Tom Cruise 60%Robert Pattinson 48%Ryan Gosling 45%John Turturro 44%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

19 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Matt Damon93%−0.1 pts86%none

John Malkovich88%−0.5 pts74%none

Andrew Scott86%−0.5 pts66%1 · 1

Tom Cruise60%−2.0 pts64%0 · 1

Robert Pattinson48%+3.0 pts37%1 · 0

Ryan Gosling45%+1.0 pts47%none

John Turturro44%+2.0 pts30%none

Anthony Ippolito40%+1.5 pts27%none

Pedro Pascal17%+0.6 pts19%0 · 2

Sebastian Stan17%+1.0 pts22%1 · 0

Jaafar Jackson16%−0.5 pts20%0 · 1

Timothée Chalamet10%−4.5 pts23%1 · 1

Sam Rockwell8%+3.4 pts8%0 · 2

Adam Driver7%+2.2 pts8%0 · 1

Josh O'Connor6%+0.4 pts7%none

Javier Bardem4%−0.6 pts19%—

Robert Aramayo3%−0.3 pts3%—

Brad Pitt3%−1.1 pts4%—

Jeremy Strong<1%—18%—

19 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 58m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Matt Damon93%86%−7

John Malkovich88%74%−14

Andrew Scott86%66%−20

Tom Cruise60%64%+4

Robert Pattinson48%37%−11

Ryan Gosling45%47%+2

+13 more options

AI analysts' average · Javier Bardem

19%

15 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Andrew Scott: AI 66% vs market 86%, 20 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Andrew Scott21 · 1

Pedro Pascal20 · 2

Timothée Chalamet21 · 1

Sam Rockwell20 · 2

Tom Cruise10 · 1

Robert Pattinson11 · 0

Sebastian Stan11 · 0

Jaafar Jackson10 · 1

Adam Driver10 · 1

6 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN19 levels openCloses Jan 21, 2027Research 58m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Tom Cruise 60%Robert Pattinson 48%Ryan Gosling 45%John Turturro 44%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

19 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Matt Damon93%−0.1 pts86%none

John Malkovich88%−0.5 pts74%none

Andrew Scott86%−0.5 pts66%1 · 1

Tom Cruise60%−2.0 pts64%0 · 1

Robert Pattinson48%+3.0 pts37%1 · 0

Ryan Gosling45%+1.0 pts47%none

John Turturro44%+2.0 pts30%none

Anthony Ippolito40%+1.5 pts27%none

Pedro Pascal17%+0.6 pts19%0 · 2

Sebastian Stan17%+1.0 pts22%1 · 0

Jaafar Jackson16%−0.5 pts20%0 · 1

Timothée Chalamet10%−4.5 pts23%1 · 1

Sam Rockwell8%+3.4 pts8%0 · 2

Adam Driver7%+2.2 pts8%0 · 1

Josh O'Connor6%+0.4 pts7%none

Javier Bardem4%−0.6 pts19%—

Robert Aramayo3%−0.3 pts3%—

Brad Pitt3%−1.1 pts4%—

Jeremy Strong<1%—18%—

19 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 58m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Matt Damon93%86%−7

John Malkovich88%74%−14

Andrew Scott86%66%−20

Tom Cruise60%64%+4

Robert Pattinson48%37%−11

Ryan Gosling45%47%+2

+13 more options

AI analysts' average · Javier Bardem

19%

15 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Andrew Scott: AI 66% vs market 86%, 20 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Andrew Scott21 · 1

Pedro Pascal20 · 2

Timothée Chalamet21 · 1

Sam Rockwell20 · 2

Tom Cruise10 · 1

Robert Pattinson11 · 0

Sebastian Stan11 · 0

Jaafar Jackson10 · 1

Adam Driver10 · 1

6 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Related Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

1AI analysts

2Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts