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Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN10 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 10 options

Nicolás Maduro 77%Delcy Rodríguez 19%Jorge Rodríguez <1%Marco Rubio <1%

10 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Nicolás Maduro77%+0.2 pts31%5 · 2
Delcy Rodríguez19%+1.0 pts43%3 · 1
Jorge Rodríguez<1%—2%—
Marco Rubio<1%—1%—
Pete Hegseth<1%—1%—
Frank Donovan<1%—1%—
Diosdado Cabello Rondón————
Evan Pettus————
Dan Caine————
Richard Grenell————

10 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Nicolás Maduro77%31%−46
Delcy Rodríguez19%43%+24
Jorge Rodríguez<1%2%+2
Marco Rubio<1%1%+1
Pete Hegseth<1%1%+1
Frank Donovan<1%1%+1
+4 more options

AI analysts' average · Marco Rubio

1%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Nicolás Maduro: AI 31% vs market 77%, 46 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1h
    Marco Rubio Says Elon Musk’s SpaceX, Not White House, Controls Ukraine’s Starlink, After Trump Said ‘I Do
    Benzinga
  • 3h
    Marco Rubio courts Reliance on India visit. Does that spell hope for US-India trade deal?
    Telegraph India
  • 5h
    Musk, not Trump, controls Ukraine's Starlink access, says Rubio amid blockade row
    India Today
  • 8h
    Rubio denies US government involvement after Starlink slowdown in Ukraine
    Anadolu Ajansı
  • 10h
    U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio visits the Middle East
    The Lufkin Daily News
  • 12h
    Not ‘widespread’: Marco Rubio dismisses anti-India sentiment in US
    The American Bazaar
  • 12h
    Reliance’s Ambani meets Marco Rubio in Jamnagar
    Investing.com
  • 12h
    Ambanis Meet Rubio: Energy, Data Centres and Venezuelan Crude Talks - News and Statistics
    IndexBox
  • 13h
    Zelensky spoke with Marco Rubio, Witkoff on Starlink and intelligence sharing
    The Hill
  • 13h
    EXCLUSIVE: Secretary of State Marco Rubio gives NFL commissioner assurances that game in France 'will be fine'
    Fox News
  • 16h
    Marco Rubio visits Reliance Industries' Jamnagar refinery as US pushes energy ties, Venezuelan crude- Moneycontrol.com
    LinkedIn
  • 21h
    Zelenskyy says early warning system for Russian missile attacks resumes for Ukraine following call with Rubio
    ABC11 News
  • 22h
    Marco Rubio and President Mirziyoyev Highlight U.S.–Uzbekistan Economic Cooperation at Business and Investment Council
    The America Times
  • 22h
    Marco Rubio and Uzbek Foreign Minister Bakhtiyor Saidov Hold Talks at C5+1 Ministerial
    The America Times
  • 22h
    JD Vance and Marco Rubio Are Both Losing Ground in 2028 Race
    Newsweek
  • 1d
    The Indian mega-refinery drawing Marco Rubio’s interest
    Financial Times
  • 1d
    'US' Pakistan Ties Will Never Come At India's Expense': Marco Rubio Assures Delhi
    NDTV
  • 1d
    Jio Platforms IPO opens today; Marco Rubio Exclusive, Brent above $110, Maharajah INR Bonds explained and more
    LinkedIn
  • 1d
    Marco Rubio Meets Taj Security Head Who Was Present During 26/11 Mumbai Attacks
    Business Today
  • 1d
    Marco Rubio’s speech in Greece reminds us of our Christian roots
    Early County News
  • 1d
    Zelenskyy on meeting with Marco Rubio about war in Ukraine
    NBC News
  • 1d
    Rubio: Iran, Not Palestinian Issue, Main Obstacle to Mideast Peace
    Baltimore Jewish Times
  • 1d
    Secretary of State Marco Rubio And Indian External Affairs Minister Dr. S. Jaishankar At the Freedom 250 Reception
    U.S. Department of State (.gov)
  • 1d
    Marco Rubio Denies Deliberate Directive To Harm Ukraine After Missile Warning Gaps: 14 outlets compared
    NewsCord
  • 1d
    Marco Rubio denies US shift on Ukraine
    Punchbowl News
  • 1d
    Secy. of State Marco Rubio Says "Nothing Has Changed" on Ukraine
    C-SPAN
  • 1d
    First Quad leaders’ summit after 2 years in Manila next month, Rubio confirms
    South China Morning Post
  • 1d
    Secretary of State Marco Rubio with Rahul Joshi of News18
    U.S. Department of State (.gov)
  • 1d
    Taj hotel security head briefs Rubio on 26/11 attack
    The Economic Times
  • 1d
    Rubio Tells People to “Grow Up” About Trump Meeting Putin and Xi
    The New Republic
  • 1d
    Marco Rubio briefed on 26/11 attacks by Taj security chief who was present during 2008 attacks | India News
    Hindustan Times
  • 1d
    No political reason for delay of Patriot missile delivery to Ukraine, Marco Rubio says
    The Jerusalem Post
  • 1d
    Video - Secretary of State Marco Rubio delivers remarks at a Freedom 250 reception
    DVIDS
  • 1d
    Trump hasn’t denied anything ‘deliberately’ to Ukraine, Rubio tells Zelensky
    New York Post
  • 1d
    Secretary Rubio’s Meeting with Indian External Affairs Minister Jaishankar
    U.S. Department of State (.gov)
  • 1d
    Trump isn't out to hurt Ukraine, Rubio tells Zelensky
    Axios
  • 1d
    Rubio and India's foreign minister hold talks in Mumbai as both sides aim to finalize a trade deal
    AP News
  • 1d
    Uzbekistan Announces $12 Billion in Agreements During Marco Rubio’s Visit
    The Times Of Central Asia
  • 1d
    US Must Weigh Ukraine Missile Needs Against Others, Rubio Says
    Bloomberg.com
  • 1d
    Secretary of State Marco Rubio Remarks to the Press
    U.S. Department of State (.gov)
  • 2d
    Secretary of State Marco Rubio with Shubhajit Roy of The Indian Express
    U.S. Department of State (.gov)
  • 2d
    Rubio heads to India for 'trade diplomacy'
    Dawn
  • 2d
    Marco Rubio says there is "no pause" in intelligence sharing with Ukraine
    CBS News
  • 2d
    Marco Rubio’s Epic Takedown of Cory Booker Over Trump’s Military Operation in Iran
    Texas Border Business
  • 2d
    Secretary of State Marco Rubio meets with Uzbekistan's president
    KTVB
  • 2d
    Secy. Of State Marco Rubio Justifies U.S. Waiving Russian Sanctions, Citing Global Energy and Economic Needs
    C-SPAN
  • 2d
    Marco Rubio visits India this week, with a trip to the world's largest oil refinery topping the agenda
    DW.com
  • 2d
    Rubio says Ukraine and Russia should be focused on ending the war
    Reuters
  • 3d
    Marco Rubio Meets Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev in Samarkand
    The America Times
  • 3d
    Call for DA strategist’s head after his attacks on United States leaders
    newsday.co.za
  • 4d
    Why Marco Rubio’s planned Mumbai visit has ruffled feathers in India
    Al Jazeera
  • 4d
    Rubio heads to Central Asia and India to deepen US business ties and counter China
    Malay Mail
  • 4d
    Rubio heads to Central Asia as some wonder if he's keeping the most pressing matters at a distance
    AP News
  • 4d
    Rubio wants ‘crackdown’ on settler violence after US journalist attack
    Al Jazeera
  • 4d
    Rubio says Trump to 'analyze' global impact of Russia sanctions during pause
    France 24
  • 5d
    As Rubio Heads to India, US Progressives Sound Alarm About Repression and Surveillance of Protests
    Common Dreams
  • 5d
    Secretary of State Marco Rubio meets with Dominican Republic Foreign Minister Víctor Bisonó Haza
    DVIDS
  • 5d
    Opinion | Marco Rubio misunderstands what makes the West great
    The Washington Post
  • 6d
    Marco Rubio to visit Indian billionaire Ambani's refinery in Gujarat as U.S. diesel prices surge
    CNBC
  • 6d
    Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Portuguese Foreign Minister Paulo Rangel at a Joint Press Availability
    U.S. Embassy & Consulates in China
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Nicolás Maduro75 · 2
Delcy Rodríguez43 · 1

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 10 options

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Marco Rubio · Buy YesOption 4 of 10

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No100¢
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Before you decide · Marco Rubio

  • News15 today · latest 1h
  • AI analysts1% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.