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Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN10 optionsCloses Jan 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 10 options

Nicolás Maduro 77%Delcy Rodríguez 19%Jorge Rodríguez <1%Marco Rubio <1%

10 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Nicolás Maduro77%+0.2 pts31%5 · 2
Delcy Rodríguez19%+1.0 pts43%3 · 1
Jorge Rodríguez<1%—2%—
Marco Rubio<1%—1%—
Pete Hegseth<1%—1%—
Frank Donovan<1%—1%—
Diosdado Cabello Rondón————
Evan Pettus————
Dan Caine————
Richard Grenell————

10 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Nicolás Maduro77%31%−46
Delcy Rodríguez19%43%+24
Jorge Rodríguez<1%2%+2
Marco Rubio<1%1%+1
Pete Hegseth<1%1%+1
Frank Donovan<1%1%+1
+4 more options

AI analysts' average · Pete Hegseth

1%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Nicolás Maduro: AI 31% vs market 77%, 46 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 9h
    Pete Hegseth Approves Testing of Heat Ray That Causes ‘Intolerable’ Burning for Potential Use at U.S. Border
    People.com
  • 11h
    Hegseth, Guyanese President Establish Enhanced Military Partnership
    U.S. Department of War (.gov)
  • 11h
    Pete Hegseth signs off testing for new military weapon other American officials passed on
    The Independent
  • 11h
    Hegseth Loans Military's 'Heat Ray' Weapon to DHS for Testing on Southern Border
    Military.com
  • 21h
    Why Sen. Thom Tillis wishes he voted against confirming Pete Hegseth
    CNN
  • 22h
    VV: Hegseth approves DHS request for border patrol agents to test military-grade ‘heat ray’
    CNN
  • 1d
    Pete Hegseth Says US Is Ready for Further Military Action Against Iran
    8AM Media
  • 1d
    Secretary of War Pete Hegseth visits Ohio as part of his Arsenal of Freedom Tour
    WKEF
  • 1d
    Secretary of War Pete Hegseth Speech on the Arsenal of Freedom in Dayton, Ohio (As Deliver
    U.S. Department of War (.gov)
  • 1d
    Pete Hegseth Responds After Trump Rejects His Livestream Execution Plan
    Newsweek
  • 1d
    Defense Secy. Pete Hegseth Supports President Trump Calling Off Livestream of Ft. Hood Shooter's Execution
    C-SPAN
  • 1d
    Pete Hegseth, Benjamin Netanyahu meet in Israel ahead of elections
    The Jerusalem Post
  • 1d
    SNC Hosts Secretary Pete Hegseth at its Aviation Innovation and Technology Center in Dayton, Ohio
    Sierra Nevada Corporation
  • 1d
    Hegseth, Netanyahu Meet About Iran War Without Governments' Disclosure
    Military.com
  • 1d
    Pete Hegseth made unannounced visit to Israel, met Netanyahu ahead of elections - report | LIVE BLOG
    i24NEWS
  • 1d
    Why Is Pete Hegseth So Obsessed With Other Men’s Bodies?
    GQ
  • 1d
    Hegseth says 20% of senior military officers will be cut, unveils new AI command
    ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
  • 1d
    Hegseth Said to Make Unannounced Visit to Israel for Talks With Netanyahu
    The New York Times
  • 1d
    Pete Hegseth’s Pathetic Warrior Cult Has Undermined the Military
    The New Republic
  • 2d
    Secretary of War Pete Hegseth Speech on the Arsenal of Freedom in Eau Claire, Wisconsin (As Delivered)
    U.S. Department of War (.gov)
  • 2d
    Secretary of War Pete Hegseth Speaks to the Press During an Arsenal of Freedom Tour Stop in Eau Claire, Wisconsin
    U.S. Department of War (.gov)
  • 2d
    Scoop: Pete Hegseth meets with Netanyahu in Israel ahead of elections
    Axios
  • 2d
    Hegseth meets with Netanyahu in Israel ahead of elections and possible restart to Iran war
    CBS News
  • 2d
    Military leaders brace for release of Hegseth’s Afghanistan review
    The Washington Post
  • 2d
    DeLauro Statement on Reports of Secretary Hegseth Delaying Defensive Interceptor Missile Transfers to Ukraine
    House.gov
  • 2d
    Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to visit Eau Claire Tuesday with Small Business Administrator
    WKOW
  • 2d
    Defense secretary Pete Hegseth to deliver remarks in Eau Claire as part of national tour
    news8000.com
  • 2d
    ‘Arsenal of Freedom Tour’ bringing Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth to Wisconsin
    WFRV Local 5
  • 2d
    Ally Publicly Shames Hegseth Over Insult to Troops
    The Daily Beast
  • 2d
    Hegseth ‘wrong’ to diminish NATO role in Afghanistan: UK prime minister’s office
    The Hill
  • 2d
    Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth to visit Wisconsin on Tuesday
    WBAY
  • 2d
    Is Pete Hegseth to Blame for UTSA Rappelling Death? What the Record Shows
    Newsweek
  • 2d
    The Pete Hegseth Rules for Dominating Your Way to Utter Failure
    The Ringer
  • 2d
    Secretary of War Pete Hegseth to Visit Ohio and Wisconsin, for the Arsenal of Freedom Tour
    U.S. Department of War (.gov)
  • 2d
    Pete Hegseth’s Afghanistan war comments spark backlash from veterans
    Newsweek
  • 2d
    Pete Hegseth Faces Criticism After Deadly Military Display at Football Game
    Yahoo
  • 3d
    Unpacking Pete Hegseth impeachment uncertainty
    Punchbowl News
  • 3d
    Pete Hegseth attends Tennessee rivalry game
    The Daily Beacon
  • 4d
    VIDEO: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth arrives in East Tennessee
    WJHL
  • 5d
    Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to attend Tennessee-Alabama game at Neyland Stadium on Saturday
    WVLT
  • 6d
    How Pete Hegseth’s Plan for a Reality-TV Execution Imploded
    The Atlantic
  • 6d
    White House overrules Pete Hegseth again, this time on livestreaming execution
    NBC News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Nicolás Maduro75 · 2
Delcy Rodríguez43 · 1

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 10 options

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Pete Hegseth · Buy YesOption 5 of 10

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No100¢
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Before you decide · Pete Hegseth

  • News6 today · latest 9h
  • AI analysts1% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

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