How do I trade on "Will Margaret Qualley be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN16 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 4h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Tao Okamoto 62%Amanda Seyfried 59%Sandra Hüller 33%Olivia Colman 31%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

16 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Anne Hathaway88%−0.5 pts79%none

Samantha Morton81%+0.5 pts65%0 · 1

Penélope Cruz74%—75%1 · 0

Tao Okamoto62%+1.0 pts35%none

Amanda Seyfried59%−1.0 pts38%1 · 0

Sandra Hüller33%+13.0 pts24%1 · 0

Olivia Colman31%+3.0 pts21%none

Mariana di Girolamo30%+0.5 pts60%none

Parker Posey23%+1.5 pts19%1 · 1

Merritt Wever13%+0.5 pts11%none

Zendaya9%+1.0 pts7%none

Gemma Chan9%—9%none

Isabella Rossellini6%−0.7 pts6%0 · 1

Betty Gilpin4%−1.1 pts3%none

Margaret Qualley4%−0.7 pts11%0 · 1

Inde Navarrette1%—1%none

16 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 4h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Anne Hathaway88%79%−9

Samantha Morton81%65%−16

Penélope Cruz74%75%+1

Tao Okamoto62%35%−27

Amanda Seyfried59%38%−21

Sandra Hüller33%24%−9

+10 more options

AI analysts' average · Margaret Qualley

11%

7 pts above the market · 3 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Mariana di Girolamo: AI 60% vs market 30%, 30 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

1d
#OscarsSoWhite … again? The post-‘Sinners’ Oscar season falls short on diversity
Gold Derby
2d
Oscar Predictions via Feinberg Forecast: Scott’s Mid-October Charts and Dissection of the Race
The Hollywood Reporter
3d
A Post-Film Festival Analysis of the 2027 Oscar Contenders
Matthew Huff | Substack

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 4h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Parker Posey21 · 1

Samantha Morton10 · 1

Penélope Cruz11 · 0

Amanda Seyfried11 · 0

Sandra Hüller11 · 0

Isabella Rossellini10 · 1

Margaret Qualley10 · 1

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN16 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 4h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Tao Okamoto 62%Amanda Seyfried 59%Sandra Hüller 33%Olivia Colman 31%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

16 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Anne Hathaway88%−0.5 pts79%none

Samantha Morton81%+0.5 pts65%0 · 1

Penélope Cruz74%—75%1 · 0

Tao Okamoto62%+1.0 pts35%none

Amanda Seyfried59%−1.0 pts38%1 · 0

Sandra Hüller33%+13.0 pts24%1 · 0

Olivia Colman31%+3.0 pts21%none

Mariana di Girolamo30%+0.5 pts60%none

Parker Posey23%+1.5 pts19%1 · 1

Merritt Wever13%+0.5 pts11%none

Zendaya9%+1.0 pts7%none

Gemma Chan9%—9%none

Isabella Rossellini6%−0.7 pts6%0 · 1

Betty Gilpin4%−1.1 pts3%none

Margaret Qualley4%−0.7 pts11%0 · 1

Inde Navarrette1%—1%none

16 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 4h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Anne Hathaway88%79%−9

Samantha Morton81%65%−16

Penélope Cruz74%75%+1

Tao Okamoto62%35%−27

Amanda Seyfried59%38%−21

Sandra Hüller33%24%−9

+10 more options

AI analysts' average · Margaret Qualley

11%

7 pts above the market · 3 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Mariana di Girolamo: AI 60% vs market 30%, 30 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

1d
#OscarsSoWhite … again? The post-‘Sinners’ Oscar season falls short on diversity
Gold Derby
2d
Oscar Predictions via Feinberg Forecast: Scott’s Mid-October Charts and Dissection of the Race
The Hollywood Reporter
3d
A Post-Film Festival Analysis of the 2027 Oscar Contenders
Matthew Huff | Substack

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 4h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Parker Posey21 · 1

Samantha Morton10 · 1

Penélope Cruz11 · 0

Amanda Seyfried11 · 0

Sandra Hüller11 · 0

Isabella Rossellini10 · 1

Margaret Qualley10 · 1

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

Related Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

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News

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