MarketsPolitics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 level openResearch 13d ago
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? 1%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
1 level open
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Yes if the United States officially announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that a majority of Greenland's territory will enter formal US governance or jurisdiction; otherwise No. An official US–Denmark agreement qualifies before the transfer occurs, but social-media posts alone do not; government information from the US, Greenland and Denmark is authoritative, with credible reporting consensus confirming actual US sovereignty also permitted.
- Watch out
- An official agreement announcing a future sovereignty transfer qualifies even before the transfer occurs. Mere posts on Social Media do not count.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
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