How do I trade on "Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN23 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Stefan Brodie 17%Donald Brodie 17%Ryan Salame 13%Keonne Rodriguez 10%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

23 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Stefan Brodie17%−2.0 pts——

Donald Brodie17%+5.0 pts——

Ryan Salame13%———

Keonne Rodriguez10%+2.5 pts9%—

Steve Bannon8%+0.1 pts——

Matt Gaetz7%+1.0 pts——

Daniel Penny6%−0.9 pts——

Elizabeth Holmes6%+0.5 pts4%—

Roger Ver5%———

Diddy5%—4%—

Joe Exotic5%−1.0 pts——

Ghislaine Maxwell4%———

Edward Snowden4%—3%—

Roger Stone4%−0.4 pts1%—

Nicolas Maduro3%−0.1 pts1%—

Sam Bankman-Fried3%+0.1 pts3%—

Bob Menendez3%—3%—

Young Thug3%−1.3 pts1%—

Himself3%+0.1 pts2%—

Derek Chauvin3%−0.1 pts3%—

Do Kwon3%—3%—

Elon Musk3%—1%—

Hunter Biden2%———

23 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Stefan Brodie17%——

Donald Brodie17%——

Ryan Salame13%——

Keonne Rodriguez10%9%−1

Steve Bannon8%——

Matt Gaetz7%——

+17 more options

AI analysts' average · Ghislaine Maxwell

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 23 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How markets resolve

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN23 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Stefan Brodie 17%Donald Brodie 17%Ryan Salame 13%Keonne Rodriguez 10%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

23 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Stefan Brodie17%−2.0 pts——

Donald Brodie17%+5.0 pts——

Ryan Salame13%———

Keonne Rodriguez10%+2.5 pts9%—

Steve Bannon8%+0.1 pts——

Matt Gaetz7%+1.0 pts——

Daniel Penny6%−0.9 pts——

Elizabeth Holmes6%+0.5 pts4%—

Roger Ver5%———

Diddy5%—4%—

Joe Exotic5%−1.0 pts——

Ghislaine Maxwell4%———

Edward Snowden4%—3%—

Roger Stone4%−0.4 pts1%—

Nicolas Maduro3%−0.1 pts1%—

Sam Bankman-Fried3%+0.1 pts3%—

Bob Menendez3%—3%—

Young Thug3%−1.3 pts1%—

Himself3%+0.1 pts2%—

Derek Chauvin3%−0.1 pts3%—

Do Kwon3%—3%—

Elon Musk3%—1%—

Hunter Biden2%———

23 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Stefan Brodie17%——

Donald Brodie17%——

Ryan Salame13%——

Keonne Rodriguez10%9%−1

Steve Bannon8%——

Matt Gaetz7%——

+17 more options

AI analysts' average · Ghislaine Maxwell

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 23 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

How markets resolve

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

1AI analysts

2News

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 23 options

Related Markets

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

1AI analysts

2News

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 23 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

News