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Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN23 levels openCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Stefan Brodie 17%Donald Brodie 17%Ryan Salame 13%Keonne Rodriguez 10%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

23 levels open · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Stefan Brodie17%−2.0 pts——
Donald Brodie17%+5.0 pts——
Ryan Salame13%———
Keonne Rodriguez10%+2.5 pts9%—
Steve Bannon8%+0.1 pts——
Matt Gaetz7%+1.0 pts——
Daniel Penny6%−0.9 pts——
Elizabeth Holmes6%+0.5 pts4%—
Roger Ver5%———
Diddy5%—4%—
Joe Exotic5%−1.0 pts——
Ghislaine Maxwell4%———
Edward Snowden4%—3%—
Roger Stone4%−0.4 pts1%—
Nicolas Maduro3%−0.1 pts1%—
Sam Bankman-Fried3%+0.1 pts3%—
Bob Menendez3%—3%—
Young Thug3%−1.3 pts1%—
Himself3%+0.1 pts2%—
Derek Chauvin3%−0.1 pts3%—
Do Kwon3%—3%—
Elon Musk3%—1%—
Hunter Biden2%———

23 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Stefan Brodie17%——
Donald Brodie17%——
Ryan Salame13%——
Keonne Rodriguez10%9%−1
Steve Bannon8%——
Matt Gaetz7%——
+17 more options

AI analysts' average · Hunter Biden

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 1d
    Republican senator calls for Judiciary Committee to subpoena Donald Trump Jr. and Hunter Biden
    ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
  • 4d
    Hunter Biden Says Crypto Is ‘Hostage to Donald Trump’
    Yahoo Finance
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 23 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
How markets resolve
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Hunter Biden · Buy YesOption 23 of 23

Polymarket price · live

Yes4¢
No99¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 2¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 3¢

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Before you decide · Hunter Biden

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analystsreviewing
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.