MarketsWorld
Who will Trump speak to by October 31?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN13 levels open1 closedResearch 5h ago
Ahmed al-Sharaa 40%Mark Rutte 26%Volodymyr Zelenskyy 22%Pope Leo XIV 10%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
13 levels open · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 closed level
13 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Andy Burnham98%——
Ahmed al-Sharaa40%25%−15
Mark Rutte26%35%+9
Volodymyr Zelenskyy22%27%+5
Pope Leo XIV10%4%−6
Xi Jinping4%8%+4
+7 more options
AI analysts' average · Ahmed al-Sharaa
25%
15 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 0 level, 1 price closer, on 235 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Andy BurnhamYes smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No CattailCattail: Tier 2, #45 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2CarCar: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 CattailCattail: Tier 2, #45 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 · 1
Ahmed al-SharaaYes smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No CarCar: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 CarCar: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
Volodymyr ZelenskyyYes CarCar: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No CattailCattail: Tier 2, #45 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 CarCar: Tier 2, #39 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 CattailCattail: Tier 2, #45 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
Mark RutteYes smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Pope Leo XIVYes smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
Xi JinpingNo CattailCattail: Tier 2, #45 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 CattailCattail: Tier 2, #45 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Masoud PezeshkianNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Nicolás MaduroNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
Mojtaba KhameneiNo smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 smellyElliesmellyEllie: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
4 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
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