Skip to content
MarketsSports

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Resolved0 options30 closedResearch 1d ago

ResolvedYesJan 1, 2027, 12:59 UTC

The verdict

Yes won

Settled Jan 1, 2027

Creator-reported score

This captured game score is the creator’s evidence. The market verdict is shown separately.

Loading data...

Polymarket chance · top 0 of 0 options

0 options · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
30 closed options
Harry Kane>99%+0.1 pts68%—
Kylian Mbappé<1%—11%—
Erling Haaland<1%—1%—
Jude Bellingham<1%—1%—
Ousmane Dembélé<1%−0.4 pts1%—
Lamine Yamal<1%−0.2 pts14%—
Vinícius Júnior<1%—1%—
Michael Olise<1%—1%—
Declan Rice<1%—1%—
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia<1%—1%—
Vitinha<1%—1%—
Achraf Hakimi<1%—1%—
Bruno Fernandes<1%—1%—
Luis Diaz<1%—1%—
Lautaro Martinez<1%—1%—
Lionel Messi<1%−0.1 pts2%—
Rodri<1%—1%—
Pau Cubarsi<1%—1%—
Fabian Ruiz<1%—1%—
Marc Cucurella<1%—1%—
Gabriel Magalhães<1%—1%—
Sadio Mané<1%—1%—
Marquinhos<1%—1%—
Nuno Mendes<1%—1%—
João Neves<1%—1%—
Willian Pacho<1%—1%—
Julián Quiñones<1%—1%—
William Saliba<1%—1%—
Ferran Torres<1%—1%—
Dayot Upamecano<1%—1%—

0 options trading, by chance. +30 more on Polymarket

The calls

AI analysts

3 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

AI analysts' average · Harry Kane

68%

32 pts below the market · 2 AI analysts

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 30 options

Show rulesHide rules
In plain English
Resolves Yes if Harry Kane is declared the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or winner by France Football. Otherwise No; if no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other' and this option is No.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment