How do I trade on "Will Benfica finish top 8 in UEL league phase?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN32 levels openCloses Mar 1, 2027Research 16h ago

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sunderland 59%Besiktas 47%Olympiacos 42%Lyon 41%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

32 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Benfica93%—95%none

Bournemouth92%+3.0 pts84%none

Bayer Leverkusen88%−0.5 pts90%none

Juventus76%−1.0 pts77%none

Sunderland59%—59%none

Besiktas47%—47%none

Olympiacos42%—45%none

Lyon41%—50%none

Crystal Palace35%−0.5 pts35%none

Rennes34%—30%none

Union Saint-Gilloise32%—32%none

Ferencvaros32%−3.0 pts36%none

Milan31%—30%1 · 0

Real Sociedad21%—21%none

Celta Vigo15%—15%1 · 0

Anderlecht12%+6.0 pts7%none

TSG Hoffenheim12%−0.2 pts12%none

Sturm Graz9%—10%none

Red Bull Salzburg9%—9%none

NEC7%+1.5 pts5%none

Dinamo Zagreb7%+1.0 pts6%none

Omonia7%+2.5 pts4%0 · 1

Torreense5%+0.1 pts5%none

OFI5%−0.3 pts5%none

Lillestrom3%−0.4 pts3%none

Jagiellonia Bialystok3%+0.1 pts3%none

Celje3%+1.4 pts4%none

Lech Poznan3%+0.1 pts3%none

Ararat-Armenia2%−0.3 pts2%0 · 1

Marseille2%+0.7 pts1%none

Celtic<1%—1%none

Levski Sofia<1%—1%none

32 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

2 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 16h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Benfica93%95%+2

Bournemouth92%84%−8

Bayer Leverkusen88%90%+2

Juventus76%77%+1

Sunderland59%59%0

Besiktas47%47%0

+26 more options

AI analysts' average · Benfica

95%

2 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

3d
Preview: Santa Clara vs Benfica - prediction, team news, lineups
Sports Mole
4d
Juventus drop first points as Benfica, Leverkusen extend Europa League winning streaks
Rediff
5d
Bournemouth stun 10-man AC Milan as Benfica go top in Europa League
Yahoo Sports
6d
Bournemouth, Benfica, Leverkusen win, Juventus drop point in Europa League *Full results + Conference League
Blueprint Newspapers
6d
2026/27 Europa League: Teams, dates, draws, format, final
UEFA.com
6d
Omonia vs Benfica: Preview and Prediction
Footboom
6d
Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica Predictions & Betting Tips - Benfica to Shut Down Omonia in the Europa League
Freetips.com

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

MilanYes ndb1 T11 ndb1 T101 · 0

Celta VigoYes ndb1 T11 ndb1 T101 · 0

OmoniaNo ndb1 T101 ndb1 T10 · 1

Ararat-ArmeniaNo ndb1 T101 ndb1 T10 · 1

28 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 32 options

Benfica resolves Yes if the club finishes in the top 8 of the final 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase standings, using league-phase matches only. Qualifying, play-offs and knockout rounds don't count, and level points are split by UEFA's published tie-breakers. It resolves No otherwise. That includes the club being mathematically unable to reach the top 8 (resolves No immediately), not taking part, withdrawing or being expelled, or the league phase being cancelled or unfinished by Februar…Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Benfica resolves Yes if the club finishes in the top 8 of the final 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase standings, using league-phase matches only. Qualifying, play-offs and knockout rounds don't count, and level points are split by UEFA's published tie-breakers. It resolves No otherwise. That includes the club being mathematically unable to reach the top 8 (resolves No immediately), not taking part, withdrawing or being expelled, or the league phase being cancelled or unfinished by Februar…
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How markets resolve