How do I trade on "Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN16 levels openCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 2d ago

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Detroit, MI 12%Baltimore, MD 9%Sacramento, CA 9%Seattle, WA 8%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

16 levels open · by chance

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Las Vegas, NV93%—89%none

Denver, CO93%−0.7 pts90%none

Detroit, MI12%−1.5 pts10%none

Baltimore, MD9%−0.4 pts6%none

Sacramento, CA9%−9.0 pts12%0 · 1

Seattle, WA8%+4.3 pts3%none

New Orleans, LA8%—5%none

Portland, OR8%−1.0 pts6%none

Washington, DC7%+5.0 pts3%none

Charlotte, NC6%+1.4 pts3%none

Chicago, IL6%—3%0 · 1

Minneapolis, MN5%—3%none

Philadelphia, PA5%−1.0 pts5%0 · 1

Pittsburgh, PA4%−0.1 pts3%none

Tokyo, Japan4%−0.1 pts2%none

Boston, MA3%−2.6 pts3%none

16 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

4 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2d ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Las Vegas, NV93%89%−4

Denver, CO93%90%−3

Detroit, MI12%10%−2

Baltimore, MD9%6%−3

Sacramento, CA9%12%+3

Seattle, WA8%3%−5

+10 more options

AI analysts' average · Las Vegas, NV

89%

4 pts below the market · 4 AI analysts

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

6d
Waymo launches autonomous ride service at Las Vegas airport
FOX5 Vegas
6d
Waymo now available for Las Vegas airport rides
KSNV

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 10h ago

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

Sacramento, CANo Stonktrader T101 Stonktrader T10 · 1

Chicago, ILNo Stonktrader T101 Stonktrader T10 · 1

Philadelphia, PANo Stonktrader T101 Stonktrader T10 · 1

13 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 16 options

Show rulesHide rules

In plain English: Las Vegas, NV resolves Yes if Waymo offers its driverless ride-hailing service to the general public in Las Vegas, NV by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. The service must be hailable through the Waymo app or another official platform such as Uber. Limited pilots, employee-only testing and invite-only service do not count. Official Waymo information is the primary source.
Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How markets resolve