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Next leader out of power before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN22 optionsCloses Jan 2, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 22 options

None before 2027 47%Netanyahu - Israel PM 33%Sánchez - Spanish PM 5%Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea 4%

22 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
None before 202747%+0.5 pts46%2 · 1
Netanyahu - Israel PM33%+6.5 pts26%none
Sánchez - Spanish PM5%+0.8 pts5%none
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea4%+0.6 pts1%—
Lecornu - France PM3%+0.2 pts4%—
Trump - USA President2%—1%—
Abbas - President of Palestine2%+0.1 pts3%—
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President1%−0.1 pts1%—
Merz - German Chancellor1%+0.1 pts1%—
Macron - France President1%+0.3 pts1%—
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President<1%+0.4 pts1%—
Lula da Silva - Brazil President<1%+0.1 pts1%—
Erdoğan - Türkiye President<1%+0.1 pts1%—
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP<1%—1%—
Putin - Russia President<1%−0.1 pts1%—
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President<1%−0.3 pts1%—
al-Sharaa - Syria President<1%+0.1 pts2%—
Milei - Argentina President<1%+0.2 pts1%—
Albanese - Australia PM<1%+0.1 pts1%—
Takaichi - Japan PM<1%−0.1 pts1%—
Newsom - California Governor<1%—1%—
Sheinbaum - Mexico President<1%−0.1 pts1%—

22 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
None before 202747%46%−1
Netanyahu - Israel PM33%26%−7
Sánchez - Spanish PM5%5%0
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea4%1%−3
Lecornu - France PM3%4%+1
Trump - USA President2%1%−1
+16 more options

AI analysts' average · Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

1%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Netanyahu - Israel PM: AI 26% vs market 33%, 7 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 15h
    President Delcy Rodríguez delivers 500 transitional housing units in Ciudad Caribia for families affected by the double earthquake
    rnv.gob.ve
  • 1d
    Trump Finds a Machado-Rodríguez Race 'Interesting.' Venezuela Still Has Zero Elections Scheduled.
    Latin Times
  • 2d
    Venezuela: Delcy Rodríguez Praises Popular Consultation Turnout, Announces Funds Ready for Communal Projects
    Orinoco Tribune
  • 2d
    Q: Would you like to see Delcy Rodriguez facing María Corina Machado in a presidential election in Venezuela? TRUMP: Well that would be interesting (He does not!)
    X
  • 2d
    President Delcy Rodríguez announces increase in Oil production in Zulia state from 70 , 000 to 370 , 000 daily barrels
    rnv.gob.ve
  • 2d
    President Delcy Rodríguez congratulates the organized people on its participation in the Second National Popular Consultation 2026
    rnv.gob.ve
  • 3d
    Delcy Rodríguez: Oil Agreements Prioritize Venezuelan Workers and National Capital
    Orinoco Tribune
  • 4d
    Delcy Rodriguez Says Venezuela Expects Nearly $76 Billion in Oil Investments With 61 Agreements
    NewsCord
  • 6d
    Delcy Rodríguez’s “Happy Hour” in Venezuela
    Connectas
  • 6d
    US lifts sanctions on Delcy Rodríguez’s brother amid Venezuela controversy
    Antelope Valley Press
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
None before 202732 · 1

2 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 22 options

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President · Buy YesOption 11 of 22

Polymarket price · live

Yes1¢
No99¢
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Before you decide · Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

  • News1 today · latest 15h
  • AI analysts1% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.