How do I trade on "Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN22 optionsCloses Jan 2, 2027

Polymarket price · top 4 of 22 options

None before 2027 47%Netanyahu - Israel PM 33%Sánchez - Spanish PM 6%Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea 4%

22 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

None before 202747%+0.5 pts46%2 · 1

Netanyahu - Israel PM33%+6.5 pts26%none

Sánchez - Spanish PM6%+1.0 pts5%none

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea4%+1.3 pts1%—

Lecornu - France PM3%+0.2 pts4%—

Trump - USA President2%−0.1 pts1%—

Abbas - President of Palestine2%+0.1 pts3%—

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President2%−0.1 pts1%—

Merz - German Chancellor1%+0.1 pts1%—

Macron - France President1%+0.2 pts1%—

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President<1%+0.4 pts1%—

Lula da Silva - Brazil President<1%+0.1 pts1%—

Erdoğan - Türkiye President<1%+0.1 pts1%—

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP<1%—1%—

Putin - Russia President<1%−0.1 pts1%—

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President<1%−0.2 pts1%—

al-Sharaa - Syria President<1%+0.1 pts2%—

Milei - Argentina President<1%+0.2 pts1%—

Albanese - Australia PM<1%+0.1 pts1%—

Takaichi - Japan PM<1%−0.1 pts1%—

Newsom - California Governor<1%—1%—

Sheinbaum - Mexico President<1%−0.1 pts1%—

22 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

None before 202747%46%−1

Netanyahu - Israel PM33%26%−7

Sánchez - Spanish PM6%5%−1

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea4%1%−3

Lecornu - France PM3%4%+1

Trump - USA President2%1%−1

+16 more options

AI analysts' average · Abbas - President of Palestine

1 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Netanyahu - Israel PM: AI 26% vs market 33%, 7 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

12h
Palestinian president Abbas due in Cyprus on October 29
cyprus-mail.com
2d
Why Mahmoud Abbas keeps postponing Palestinian elections
The New Arab
2d
Twenty - One Years Into a Four - Year Term : Mahmoud Abbas Delays Elections Again
algemeiner.com
6d
Palestinians challenge Abbas decision to postpone election
jpost.com

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

None before 202732 · 1

2 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 22 options

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN22 optionsCloses Jan 2, 2027

Polymarket price · top 4 of 22 options

None before 2027 47%Netanyahu - Israel PM 33%Sánchez - Spanish PM 6%Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea 4%

22 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

None before 202747%+0.5 pts46%2 · 1

Netanyahu - Israel PM33%+6.5 pts26%none

Sánchez - Spanish PM6%+1.0 pts5%none

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea4%+1.3 pts1%—

Lecornu - France PM3%+0.2 pts4%—

Trump - USA President2%−0.1 pts1%—

Abbas - President of Palestine2%+0.1 pts3%—

Zelenskyy - Ukraine President2%−0.1 pts1%—

Merz - German Chancellor1%+0.1 pts1%—

Macron - France President1%+0.2 pts1%—

Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President<1%+0.4 pts1%—

Lula da Silva - Brazil President<1%+0.1 pts1%—

Erdoğan - Türkiye President<1%+0.1 pts1%—

Xi - General Secretary of the CCP<1%—1%—

Putin - Russia President<1%−0.1 pts1%—

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President<1%−0.2 pts1%—

al-Sharaa - Syria President<1%+0.1 pts2%—

Milei - Argentina President<1%+0.2 pts1%—

Albanese - Australia PM<1%+0.1 pts1%—

Takaichi - Japan PM<1%−0.1 pts1%—

Newsom - California Governor<1%—1%—

Sheinbaum - Mexico President<1%−0.1 pts1%—

22 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

None before 202747%46%−1

Netanyahu - Israel PM33%26%−7

Sánchez - Spanish PM6%5%−1

Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea4%1%−3

Lecornu - France PM3%4%+1

Trump - USA President2%1%−1

+16 more options

AI analysts' average · Abbas - President of Palestine

1 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Netanyahu - Israel PM: AI 26% vs market 33%, 7 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

12h
Palestinian president Abbas due in Cyprus on October 29
cyprus-mail.com
2d
Why Mahmoud Abbas keeps postponing Palestinian elections
The New Arab
2d
Twenty - One Years Into a Four - Year Term : Mahmoud Abbas Delays Elections Again
algemeiner.com
6d
Palestinians challenge Abbas decision to postpone election
jpost.com

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

None before 202732 · 1

2 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 22 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Next leader out of power before 2027?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 22 options

Related Markets

Next leader out of power before 2027?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 22 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

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