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Next leader out of power before 2027?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN22 options
None before 2027 47%Netanyahu - Israel PM 33%Sánchez - Spanish PM 5%Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea 4%
22 options · by chance
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
22 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
None before 202747%46%−1
Netanyahu - Israel PM33%26%−7
Sánchez - Spanish PM5%5%0
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea4%1%−3
Lecornu - France PM3%4%+1
Trump - USA President2%1%−1
+16 more options
AI analysts' average · Newsom - California Governor
1%
1 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts
Biggest gap
Netanyahu - Israel PM: AI 26% vs market 33%, 7 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
None before 202732 · 1
2 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.