How do I trade on "Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Next French Presidential Election

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN40 optionsCloses Apr 20, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 40 options

Marine Le Pen 46%Édouard Philippe 19%David Lisnard 12%Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

40 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Marine Le Pen46%—33%10 · 0

Édouard Philippe19%—19%5 · 0

David Lisnard12%+0.6 pts6%0 · 2

Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%—6%none

Raphaël Glucksmann4%−0.5 pts6%4 · 1

François Hollande2%−0.6 pts1%none

Gabriel Attal1%−0.1 pts4%2 · 0

Sarah Knafo<1%—1%1 · 0

Éric Zemmour<1%—1%1 · 0

Bruno Retailleau<1%+0.2 pts1%2 · 0

Christine Lagarde<1%—1%none

Jordan Bardella<1%—5%5 · 0

Dominique de Villepin<1%+0.2 pts1%none

Sébastien Lecornu<1%—1%2 · 0

Natacha Polony<1%−0.2 pts1%none

Xavier Bertrand———none

Laurent Wauquiez———1 · 0

François Ruffin———1 · 0

Marine Tondelier———1 · 0

Fabien Roussel———none

Olivier Faure———1 · 0

Ségolène Royal———none

François Asselineau———none

Clémentine Autain———1 · 0

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan———none

Michel Barnier———1 · 0

Valérie Pécresse———none

François Bayrou———1 · 0

Élisabeth Borne———1 · 0

Yaël Braun-Pivet———none

Jean Castex———1 · 0

Gérald Darmanin———none

Carole Delga———none

Bernard Cazeneuve———none

Manuel Bompard———1 · 0

Mathilde Panot———none

Juan Branco———none

Clémence Guetté———none

Karim Bouamrane———none

Lucie Castets———none

40 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Marine Le Pen46%33%−13

Édouard Philippe19%19%0

David Lisnard12%6%−6

Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%6%−5

Raphaël Glucksmann4%6%+2

François Hollande2%1%−1

+34 more options

AI analysts' average · Dominique de Villepin

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Marine Le Pen: AI 33% vs market 46%, 13 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Marine Le Pen1010 · 0

Édouard Philippe55 · 0

Raphaël Glucksmann54 · 1

Jordan Bardella55 · 0

David Lisnard20 · 2

Gabriel Attal22 · 0

Bruno Retailleau22 · 0

Sébastien Lecornu22 · 0

Sarah Knafo11 · 0

Éric Zemmour11 · 0

Laurent Wauquiez11 · 0

François Ruffin11 · 0

Marine Tondelier11 · 0

Olivier Faure11 · 0

Clémentine Autain11 · 0

Michel Barnier11 · 0

François Bayrou11 · 0

Élisabeth Borne11 · 0

Jean Castex11 · 0

Manuel Bompard11 · 0

20 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 40 options

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Next French Presidential Election

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN40 optionsCloses Apr 20, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 40 options

Marine Le Pen 46%Édouard Philippe 19%David Lisnard 12%Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

40 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Marine Le Pen46%—33%10 · 0

Édouard Philippe19%—19%5 · 0

David Lisnard12%+0.6 pts6%0 · 2

Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%—6%none

Raphaël Glucksmann4%−0.5 pts6%4 · 1

François Hollande2%−0.6 pts1%none

Gabriel Attal1%−0.1 pts4%2 · 0

Sarah Knafo<1%—1%1 · 0

Éric Zemmour<1%—1%1 · 0

Bruno Retailleau<1%+0.2 pts1%2 · 0

Christine Lagarde<1%—1%none

Jordan Bardella<1%—5%5 · 0

Dominique de Villepin<1%+0.2 pts1%none

Sébastien Lecornu<1%—1%2 · 0

Natacha Polony<1%−0.2 pts1%none

Xavier Bertrand———none

Laurent Wauquiez———1 · 0

François Ruffin———1 · 0

Marine Tondelier———1 · 0

Fabien Roussel———none

Olivier Faure———1 · 0

Ségolène Royal———none

François Asselineau———none

Clémentine Autain———1 · 0

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan———none

Michel Barnier———1 · 0

Valérie Pécresse———none

François Bayrou———1 · 0

Élisabeth Borne———1 · 0

Yaël Braun-Pivet———none

Jean Castex———1 · 0

Gérald Darmanin———none

Carole Delga———none

Bernard Cazeneuve———none

Manuel Bompard———1 · 0

Mathilde Panot———none

Juan Branco———none

Clémence Guetté———none

Karim Bouamrane———none

Lucie Castets———none

40 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Marine Le Pen46%33%−13

Édouard Philippe19%19%0

David Lisnard12%6%−6

Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%6%−5

Raphaël Glucksmann4%6%+2

François Hollande2%1%−1

+34 more options

AI analysts' average · Dominique de Villepin

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Marine Le Pen: AI 33% vs market 46%, 13 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Marine Le Pen1010 · 0

Édouard Philippe55 · 0

Raphaël Glucksmann54 · 1

Jordan Bardella55 · 0

David Lisnard20 · 2

Gabriel Attal22 · 0

Bruno Retailleau22 · 0

Sébastien Lecornu22 · 0

Sarah Knafo11 · 0

Éric Zemmour11 · 0

Laurent Wauquiez11 · 0

François Ruffin11 · 0

Marine Tondelier11 · 0

Olivier Faure11 · 0

Clémentine Autain11 · 0

Michel Barnier11 · 0

François Bayrou11 · 0

Élisabeth Borne11 · 0

Jean Castex11 · 0

Manuel Bompard11 · 0

20 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 40 options

Resolution criteria: The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Next French Presidential Election

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 40 options

Related Markets

Next French Presidential Election

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 40 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts