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Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN4 optionsResearch 1h ago
Marine Le Pen 46%Édouard Philippe 19%David Lisnard 12%Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%
4 options · by chance
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
4 options trading, by chance. +41 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Marine Le Pen46%35%−11
Édouard Philippe19%16%−3
David Lisnard12%6%−6
Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%4%−7
AI analysts' average · Jean-Luc Mélenchon
4%
7 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Biggest gap
Marine Le Pen: AI 35% vs market 46%, 11 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Marine Le Pen1010 · 0
Édouard Philippe55 · 0
David Lisnard20 · 2
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
- Resolution criteria
- The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
