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Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN18 optionsCloses Dec 2, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 18 options

Google 58%Anthropic 35%OpenAI 3%Meta 1%

18 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Google58%+4.0 pts52%8 · 1
Anthropic35%−4.0 pts39%2 · 2
OpenAI3%−0.8 pts11%1 · 0
Meta1%−1.1 pts8%2 · 0
Alibaba<1%+0.2 pts2%none
SpaceXAI<1%+0.1 pts2%none
Z.ai<1%—1%none
Moonshot<1%—1%none
Xiaomi<1%+0.1 pts1%none
DeepSeek<1%+0.1 pts2%none
Baidu———none
Amazon———none
ByteDance———none
Nvidia———none
Thinky———none
Mistral———none
Meituan———none
StepFun———none

18 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Google58%52%−6
Anthropic35%39%+4
OpenAI3%11%+8
Meta1%8%+7
Alibaba<1%2%+1
SpaceXAI<1%2%+1
+12 more options

AI analysts' average · Nvidia

—

Biggest gap

OpenAI: AI 11% vs market 3%, 8 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 10h
    “If your product is harmful, stop”: Nvidia CEO draws line on AI safety
    www.calcalistech.com
  • 10h
    Nvidia Has 80% of Its Portfolio Invested in 2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks
    The Motley Fool
  • 10h
    Nvidia Stock Falls in a Case of Bad Timing Over Another Potential AI Investment
    Barron's
  • 11h
    Nvidia DSX POD Puts AI Factories in Containers
    Technology Org
  • 11h
    Schneider Electric, Nvidia and HPE launch AI agents for industrial operations
    Robotics & Automation News
  • 12h
    Samsung Electro-Mechanics gets $2.8 billion chip investment from Tesla, Nvidia, report says
    Reuters
  • 12h
    Red Hat AI Factory with NVIDIA Accelerates Agentic AI Security Capabilities Across the Open Hybrid Cloud
    AiThority
  • 13h
    Red Hat and Nvidia move agent security outside the AI agent
    Techzine Global
  • 13h
    Nvidia's $230B Lifeline Sustains NeoCloud Amid AI Risks
    조선일보
  • 14h
    NVIDIA Secures AI Production via Component Investments
    조선일보
  • 14h
    Europe's Banks Ditch Closed AI for NVIDIA-Powered Open Models
    The Tech Buzz
  • 15h
    Pioneers Across Europe Deploy NVIDIA Earth-2 Open Models to Power Real-World Weather and Climate Prediction
    NVIDIA Blog
  • 15h
    NVIDIA Cosmos Opens New Tools to Train, Evaluate and Deploy World Models
    NVIDIA Blog
  • 15h
    NVIDIA GTC Berlin: Live Updates on What’s Next in AI
    NVIDIA Blog
  • 16h
    Nvidia taps Korean component makers for AI chips, robots
    The Korea Herald
  • 17h
    Nokia, T-Mobile and Nvidia complete first AI-RAN call
    www.nokia.com
  • 17h
    NVIDIA backs six chip suppliers in $279B push to break AI capacity bottleneck
    Dealroom
  • 18h
    Humanoid robot cuts model processing delay 8x with NVIDIA tech in internal tests
    Interesting Engineering
  • 21h
    Nvidia debuts new AI reference architectures, development tools
    SiliconANGLE
  • 21h
    Jensen Huang Says the Next Wave of AI Is Physical. Forget Nvidia and Tesla, I’d Bet on These 2 Mid-Cap Stocks Instead.
    Barchart.com
  • 21h
    HPE Stocks Rise 3.2% as Nvidia Agentic AI Stack Expands
    Yahoo Finance
  • 22h
    Nvidia Sees Opportunity In Helping Europe Create AI, Not Just Use It
    Forbes
  • 22h
    Nvidia Targets AI's Biggest Bottlenecks With New Deals
    Yahoo Finance
  • 22h
    Fort Worth to weigh incentives for Nvidia supplier considering city for $1.3B chip plant
    Fort Worth Report
  • 22h
    SpaceX, Anthropic and Nvidia Help Snap Tech Stocks Out of Their Recent Malaise
    WSJ
  • 23h
    Nvidia Aims To Speed Deployment Of AI Factories
    Investor's Business Daily
  • 23h
    Nvidia turns the AI factory into a product, and agents into the workload
    SiliconANGLE
  • 1d
    $4,000 in These 4 Non-Nvidia Chip Stocks Could Be Worth This Much by 2030
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Nvidia CEO encourages Europe's lagging AI sector and offers tools to accelerate data center buildout
    AP News
  • 1d
    High-Priced Chips in Warehouses: Nvidia's Big Con?
    cepr.net
  • 1d
    Nvidia woos wary Europeans with more open weights models
    The Register
  • 1d
    NVIDIA Gave Away the Model on October 15. Berlin Sold the Infrastructure on October 21.
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Amazon's Nvidia Chips Are Sitting in Warehouses Without Power as AI Spending Soars, Business Insider Reports
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Nvidia Is AI’s Central Bank. Now Jensen Huang Must Step Up
    Bloomberg.com
  • 1d
    Nvidia’s Jensen Huang Reveals AI Data Center Quick-Fix. These Stocks Are Winners.
    Barron's
  • 1d
    Nvidia CEO Huang was optimistic about the EU's growing AI economy and data center infrastructure
    DW.com
  • 1d
    Lucid's 25,000 Bolt robotaxis will run on Nvidia's self-driving software
    electrek.co
  • 1d
    Nvidia's Huang hails Europe's AI potential, flanked by robot ducks
    Reuters
  • 1d
    Modular AI Data center presented by Nvidia
    developer.nvidia.com
  • 1d
    Jensen Huang sends in the robot ducks to sell Nvidia's AI-everywhere vision
    The Register
  • 1d
    NVIDIA Gives DGX And RTX Systems A 40% AI Inference Boost, While DGX Spark Now Clusters Up To 8 Units For 1 TB Memory
    Wccftech
  • 1d
    How Is NVIDIA Expanding AI-Powered Telecom Networks Following T-Mobile’s First AI-RAN Call?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    NVIDIA (NVDA) is Strengthening AI Conviction Balanced Against Evolving Competitive Risks
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    RFD4-Proteina: Nvidia and Baker Lab’s model for biomolecular design
    rfd4-proteina.org
  • 1d
    Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang: 'We have to accelerate AI safety'
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Mistral Advances AI for Engineering with Nvidia
    mistral.ai
  • 1d
    Nvidia Stock Rises in Wednesday Premarket as Elon Musk Says SpaceX Is Adding 200,000 Chips a Month — Daniel Newman Says NVDA Is 'Ripping' (UPDATED)
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Nvidia debuts platform for keeping AI agents from going rogue and humanoid robot design at GTC Berlin
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Nvidia reveals plans for 'an AI factory in a shipping container' to build data centers in weeks, not months
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Einride expands Nvidia partnership to deploy AI reasoning model for self-driving trucks
    Reuters
  • 1d
    Private and OpenAI-Comp. Inference Engine for Nvidia Linux and Apple Silicon
    github.com
  • 1d
    NVIDIA and Supply Chain Partners Expand Capacity to Accelerate AI Infrastructure Buildout
    NVIDIA Newsroom
  • 1d
    Achieve Productive AI Capacity Faster and More Predictably with NVIDIA DSX POD | NVIDIA Technical Blog
    NVIDIA Developer
  • 1d
    NVIDIA Open Models Advance Europe’s Sovereign Intelligence Across Industries
    NVIDIA Blog
  • 1d
    How NVIDIA OpenShell Reference Architecture Secures and Governs AI Agent Workloads at Scale
    NVIDIA Developer
  • 1d
    NVIDIA Introduces DSX POD AI Factories to Accelerate Europe’s Infrastructure Deployment
    NVIDIA Newsroom
  • 1d
    European Ecosystem Builds World’s Most Efficient AI Factories With NVIDIA DSX
    NVIDIA Newsroom
  • 1d
    From the lab to the live network: Nokia, T-Mobile and NVIDIA complete world’s first AI-RAN call
    Nokia
  • 2d
    Google has joined Amazon in attacking Nvidia’s stronghold with AI app developers
    TechCrunch
  • 2d
    Nvidia's big bet on physical AI aims for safer robotaxis, humanoid robots
    arstechnica.com
  • 2d
    ByteDance, Alibaba, Tencent place over $35B worth of Nvidia chip orders
    www.reuters.com
  • 3d
    Germany Wants to Lead the World in Industrial AI: How Nvidia Will Help
    blogs.nvidia.com
  • 3d
    Nvidia Nemotron 3.5 Super VL Powers Specialized Agents with Multimodal Reasoning
    developer.nvidia.com
  • 3d
    Nvidia-Backed Startup DoubleAI Launches Model to Pare Cost of Compute
    www.wsj.com
  • 6d
    Nvidia Barred Neoclouds Running AMD Chips from GTC Berlin
    twitter.com
  • 6d
    Nvidia RTX Spark: AI Platform, Laptop Chip and DLSS 5
    www.igorslab.de
  • 6d
    What Nvidia's CEO thinks about the UK's AI future
    news.sky.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 10h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Google98 · 1
Anthropic42 · 2
Meta22 · 0
OpenAI11 · 0

14 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 18 options

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Nvidia · Buy YesOption 14 of 18

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No—
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Before you decide · Nvidia

  • News27 today · latest 10h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.