QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?260-279Ends in 3d260-27924%10.514%−102 Yes0 No1hElon Musk’s Cybertruck decision could change Tesla’s next chapterTheStreetElon Musk # tweets November 9 - November 11, 2026?40-64$150.8K 24h volEnds in 13h40-6458%36.062%+42 Yes0 NoElon Musk # tweets November 10 - November 17, 2026?280-299$121.8K 24h volEnds in 7d280-29913%2.012%−10 Yes1 NoElon Musk # tweets November 13 - November 20, 2026?280-299$34.2K 24h volEnds in 10d280-29913%0.013%00 Yes1 NoKhamenei # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?<5$10.4K 24h volEnds in 3d<596%13.592%−4noneElon Musk # tweets in November 2026?1000+Ends in 20d1000+81%8.084%+33 Yes1 No1hElon Musk’s Cybertruck decision could change Tesla’s next chapterTheStreetDonald Trump # Truth Social posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?80-99$8.2K 24h volEnds in 3d80-9936%17.227%−92 Yes0 NoZelenskyy # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?100-119$5.4K 24h volEnds in 3d100-11949%29.5noneElon Musk # tweets November 12 - November 14, 2026?65-89$5.2K 24h volEnds in 4d65-8938%2.0noneCZ # posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?20-39$5K 24h volEnds in 7d20-3957%7.550%−71 Yes0 NoCZ # posts November 13 - November 20, 2026?20-39$4.2K 24h volEnds in 10d20-3963%0.01 Yes0 NoDonald Trump # Truth Social posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?60-79$3.9K 24h volEnds in 7d60-7928%25.61 Yes0 NoCZ # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?20-39$3.3K 24h volEnds in 3d20-3977%5.51 Yes0 NoNYC Mayor # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?20-39$3.3K 24h volEnds in 3d20-3985%7.02 Yes0 NoWhite House # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?200+$2.8K 24h volEnds in 3d200+48%6.5noneDonald Trump # Truth Social posts November 13 - November 20, 2026?60-79$2.5K 24h volEnds in 10d60-7939%0.0noneWhite House # posts November 13 - November 20, 2026?200+$1.8K 24h volEnds in 10d200+48%0.0noneKhamenei # posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?<5$1.3K 24h volEnds in 7d<589%14.51 Yes0 NoTed Cruz # posts November 6 - November 13, 2026?60-79$1.3K 24h volEnds in 3d60-7937%18.01 Yes0 NoKhamenei # posts November 13 - November 20, 2026?<5$954.6 24h volEnds in 10d<581%0.0noneTed Cruz # posts November 13 - November 20, 2026?140-159$890 24h volEnds in 10d140-15943%0.0noneWhite House # posts November 10 - November 17, 2026?180-199$707.1 24h volEnds in 7d180-19948%30.5noneZelenskyy # posts November 13 - November 20, 2026?100-119$440.4 24h volEnds in 10d100-11928%0.0noneNYC Mayor # posts November 13 - November 20, 2026?20-39$190 24h volEnds in 10d20-3982%0.0none
