QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?0.0%–0.8%$3.2K 24h volEnds in 6d0.0%–0.8%20%9.2noneEurozone Annual GDP Growth 20261.0-2.0%$920.4 24h volEnds in 82d1.0-2.0%84%2.590%+60 Yes1 NoChina Annual GDP Growth 20264.0–5.0%$876.9 24h volEnds in 82d4.0–5.0%97%0.21 Yes0 NoUS GDP growth in Q4 2026?3.0% to 3.5%$650.9 24h volEnds in 79d3.0% to 3.5%19%1.01 Yes0 NoBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?<-0.3%$566.1 24h volEnds in 21d<-0.3%50%3.9noneChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?4.6-4.9%$378.3 24h volEnds in 82d4.6-4.9%55%1.00 Yes1 NoUK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?0.6–0.7%$328.7 24h volEnds in 2d0.6–0.7%64%0.51 Yes1 NoCanada GDP: September 2026 (MoM)-0.2 to -0.1%$219 24h volEnds in 19d-0.2 to -0.1%59%3.0noneUK Annual GDP Growth 20261-2%$40 24h volEnds in 94d1-2%88%0.0none2026 World GDP Growth3.2%$20.4 24h volEnds in 171d3.2%34%2.0noneUK Recession in 2026?$0 24h volEnds in 171d3%0.00 Yes1 NoJapan recession in 2026?$0 24h volEnds in 171d11%0.5noneGDP growth in 2026>2.5%$0 24h volEnds in 79d>2.5%51%2.30 Yes2 NoNegative GDP growth in 2026?$0 24h volEnds in 79d3%0.01 Yes0 No
