QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
October Inflation US - Annual3.7%$101.4K 24h volEnds in 1h3.7%97%3.385%−120 Yes1 NoBrazil Annual Inflation 20265.00-5.49%$6.6K 24h volEnds in 63d5.00-5.49%50%19.750%0noneHow high will inflation get in 2026?Above 4.5%Ends in 51dAbove 4.5%10%0.514%+4noneCore CPI YoY - October 20262.6%$4.2K 24h volEnds in 1h2.6%96%0.855%−411 Yes0 NoCore PCE YoY - October 20263.3%$3.3K 24h volEnds in 14d3.3%40%11.00 Yes1 NoCore PCE MoM - October 20260.3%$2.9K 24h volEnds in 14d0.3%44%4.50 Yes1 NoUS economic state at the end of 2026?Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)$2.7K 24h volEnds in 82dOverheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)75%7.60 Yes1 NoJapan Core CPI YoY in 2026≤1.9%Ends in 73d≤1.9%89%2.787%−21 Yes0 NoSouth Korea Annual Inflation 20262.7% to 2.9%$2.3K 24h volEnds in 51d2.7% to 2.9%39%8.10 Yes1 NoWhat will gas hit by end of November?↑ $4.10$1.9K 24h volEnds in 19d↑ $4.1050%1.5noneArgentina Annual Inflation 202630.0-34.9%$1.9K 24h volEnds in 61d30.0-34.9%92%3.5noneGas prices on November 11?<$3.9600$1.2K 24h volEnds in 11h<$3.960096%0.0noneOctober Inflation UK - Annual3.7-3.9%$1.2K 24h volEnds in 7d3.7-3.9%55%0.045%−10China Annual Inflation 20260.6 – 1.0%$964.2 24h volEnds in 61d0.6 – 1.0%48%7.5nonePPI YoY - October 20266.8%+$506.9 24h volEnds in 3d6.8%+30%1.01 Yes0 NoArgentina Monthly Inflation - October1.9 to 2.1%$470.4 24h volEnds in 39h1.9 to 2.1%54%2.545%−9Mexico Annual Inflation 20263.50% to 3.99%$463.9 24h volEnds in 59d3.50% to 3.99%46%1.450%+40 Yes1 NoCostco increases hotdog price before 2027?$196.6 24h volEnds in 51d3%2.3noneWhat will gas hit the week of November 9?↑ $4.10$168.2 24h volEnds in 4d↑ $4.1050%0.0noneSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026>5.0%$158.5 24h volEnds in 71d>5.0%51%2.640%−111 Yes0 NoU.K. Annual Inflation 20263.5–3.9%Ends in 71d3.5–3.9%55%0.750%−5noneCanada Annual Inflation 20263.0-3.4%$141.7 24h volEnds in 69d3.0-3.4%42%0.4noneEurozone Annual Inflation 20263.1%+$105.2 24h volEnds in 70d3.1%+85%6.50 Yes1 NoWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?$7.000+$96.9 24h volEnds in 51d$7.000+52%0.01 Yes0 No
