QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?↓ $7,200$8.9K 24h volEnds in 51d↓ $7,20051%0.0noneS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 11?$2.6K 24h volEnds in 16h82%0.01 Yes0 NoNikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026<55,000Ends in 50d<55,00016%2.512%−4noneS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 11?$1.5K 24h volEnds in 16h83%0.01 Yes1 NoWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?$7,500-$8,000$161.3 24h volEnds in 51d$7,500-$8,00031%3.03 Yes0 NoWhich companies added to S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Astera Labs (ALAB)$8.1 24h volEnds in 51dAstera Labs (ALAB)49%0.0noneNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on November 11?$0 24h volEnds in 16h50%0.0noneDow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on November 11?$0 24h volEnds in 16h62%0.0noneFTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on November 11?$0 24h volEnds in 16h50%0.0noneDAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 11?$0 24h volEnds in 16h50%0.0noneHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on November 11?$0 24h volEnds in 16h50%0.0noneRussell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on November 11?$0 24h volEnds in 16h62%0.0noneNYA (NYA) Up or Down on November 11?$0 24h volEnds in 16h50%0.0noneWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?↓ 10,000$0 24h volEnds in 51d↓ 10,00018%0.0none
