QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by...?March 31, 2027Ends in 141dMarch 31, 202727%4.017%−10none1hJensen Huang and relationship with wife | CNN BusinessCNNLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?SpaceXEnds in 52dSpaceX95%5.582%−135 Yes0 NoLargest Company end of December 2026?AppleEnds in 51dApple83%14.135%−488 Yes0 No2hNvidia CEO’s spy scandal tilts Capitol Hill’s chip fightPoliticoAI bubble burst by...?June 30, 2027Ends in 232dJune 30, 202723%0.020%−3noneHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)Ends in 51d0 (0 bps)98%0.49 Yes2 NoLargest Company end of November 2026?AppleEnds in 20dApple91%2.087%−45 Yes0 No2hNvidia CEO’s spy scandal tilts Capitol Hill’s chip fightPoliticoDiscord IPO Closing Market CapNo IPO by December 31, 2027$31.1K 24h volEnds in 416dNo IPO by December 31, 202787%6.196%+91 Yes0 NoOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap1.5T+$28K 24h volEnds in 416d1.5T+29%4.425%−4noneHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 4.8%Ends in 51dBelow 4.8%62%8.585%+23noneUS recession by end of 2026?$11K 24h volEnds in 50d3%1.32%−10 Yes3 NoAnthropic announces bankruptcy by...?December 31, 2029$8.2K 24h volEnds in 1,147dDecember 31, 202922%1.03%−191 Yes0 NoIPOs before 2027?AnthropicEnds in 51dAnthropic98%1.476%−221 Yes0 No3rd Largest Company end of November 2026?Microsoft$5.2K 24h volEnds in 20dMicrosoft69%2.51 Yes1 NoNvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?<$4.00T$2.7K 24h volEnds in 51d<$4.00T30%12.1none2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?NVIDIAEnds in 51dNVIDIA46%13.533%−133 Yes1 No1hMicrosoft CFO Amy Hood sells $3.98 million in company stockInvesting.comGPU rental prices (B200) end of November?$9.00+$1.8K 24h volEnds in 20d$9.00+89%0.51 Yes0 No3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?Microsoft$1.8K 24h volEnds in 51dMicrosoft49%6.53 Yes1 NoHow many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?475k to 500k$1.7K 24h volEnds in 110d475k to 500k32%12.5noneGPU rental prices (H200) end of November?$6.50+$1.6K 24h volEnds in 20d$6.50+65%7.03 Yes0 NoOpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?$1.2T$1.6K 24h volEnds in 416d$1.2T48%5.51 Yes0 NoNext CEO of NVIDIA?Jay Puri$1.5K 24h volEnds in 782dJay Puri23%5.5none2nd Largest Company end of November 2026?NVIDIA$1.4K 24h volEnds in 20dNVIDIA58%6.03 Yes1 NoLead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?Goldman Sachs$1.4K 24h volEnds in 416dGoldman Sachs98%1.42 Yes0 NoGPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?$0.65-$0.70$1.4K 24h volEnds in 20d$0.65-$0.7035%7.50 Yes2 No
