QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 4.55%$11.6K 24h volEnds in 50dBelow 4.55%53%28.545%−80 Yes2 NoHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.4%Ends in 51d5.4%13%6.033%+202 Yes1 NoHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 5.25%$8.4K 24h volEnds in 50dBelow 5.25%78%10.52 Yes0 NoHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.00%$5.8K 24h volEnds in 50d5.00%38%3.0noneHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?Below 4.82%$5.1K 24h volEnds in 20dBelow 4.82%22%45.01 Yes1 NoHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?5.50%$3.1K 24h volEnds in 50d5.50%51%0.50 Yes1 NoHow high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?4.80%$2.4K 24h volEnds in 20d4.80%55%35.5noneHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?Below 5.20%$2.3K 24h volEnds in 20dBelow 5.20%29%30.00 Yes1 NoHow low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Below 4.40%$1.9K 24h volEnds in 51dBelow 4.40%51%10.0noneHow low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?Below 4.44%$1.8K 24h volEnds in 20dBelow 4.44%9%36.52 Yes0 NoHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get in November?Below 4.59%$1.3K 24h volEnds in 20dBelow 4.59%22%39.01 Yes0 NoHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in November?4.91%$1.3K 24h volEnds in 20d4.91%51%28.5noneHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?5.09%$1.3K 24h volEnds in 20d5.09%51%32.00 Yes1 NoHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in November?5.45%$1.2K 24h volEnds in 20d5.45%46%19.01 Yes0 NoHow high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?4.80%$1.1K 24h volEnds in 51d4.80%48%1.50 Yes1 No
