QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?SpaceXEnds in 52dSpaceX95%5.582%−135 Yes0 NoElon Musk Net Worth on November 30?$800-$900B$2.7K 24h volEnds in 20d$800-$900B42%13.5noneTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?June 30, 2027Ends in 232dJune 30, 202754%0.556%+21 Yes0 NoHow many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?475k to 500k$1.7K 24h volEnds in 110d475k to 500k31%11.5noneSpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?December 31, 2027$846 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202752%0.50 Yes1 NoSpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Chopsticks catch Starship?$790.1 24h volEnds in 232dChopsticks catch Starship?53%1.0noneGrok 5 released by...?March 31$355.8 24h volEnds in 141dMarch 3163%1.0noneElon Musk meets with Putin by...?March 31$283.9 24h volEnds in 141dMarch 3123%6.5noneRichest person on December 31, 2026?Elon Musk$225.9 24h volEnds in 53dElon Musk98%0.1noneWill Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...?April 30, 2027$190.4 24h volEnds in 171dApril 30, 202721%0.5noneWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?$185 24h volEnds in 51d9%1.7noneSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?$57.5 24h volEnds in 416d71%7.5noneSpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?December 31, 2026$54 24h volEnds in 232dDecember 31, 202615%0.51 Yes0 No1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?$43 24h volEnds in 416d84%3.0noneHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?<5$27.9 24h volEnds in 51d<578%0.5noneElon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?$23 24h volEnds in 78d56%0.5noneWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Ends in 51d18%0.58%−101 Yes0 NoWill Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?$10.5 24h volEnds in 51d7%0.0none2nd richest person on December 31?Jeff Bezos$3.3 24h volEnds in 53dJeff Bezos48%2.5noneX banned in any European country by December 31?$2.1 24h volEnds in 51d9%0.51 Yes0 NoHow many SpaceX launches in November 2026?<13$0.6 24h volEnds in 20d<1390%0.5noneTwo SpaceX Starships dock together by…?December 31, 2027$0.3 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202765%0.5noneTesla Roadster delivered by...?December 31, 2027$0 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 20279%0.0noneWill any state legalize flying the Tesla Roadster by December 31, 2028?$0 24h volEnds in 782d13%0.5none
