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Research | Kellian
Research
Research
Your desk
Markets with dated, sourced research and AI analysts, most recently updated first.
Market
Chance
AI analysts
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
AI · updated 3h ago
25%
35%
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
AI · updated 3h ago
17%
9%
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?
AI · updated 3h ago
14%
12%
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
AI · updated 3h ago
28%
31%
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
AI · updated 3h ago
7%
8%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Tech · updated 3h ago
28%
22%
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
Tech · updated 3h ago
36%
43%
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
Business · updated 3h ago
88%
88%
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?
AI · updated 3h ago
3%
1%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Tech · updated 3h ago
24%
14%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
World · updated 3h ago
14%
9%
Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?
Movies & TV · updated 3h ago
86%
90%
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
World · updated 3h ago
28%
26%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
AI · updated 3h ago
40%
39%
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
AI · updated 3h ago
60%
51%
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Politics · updated 3h ago
37%
34%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Politics · updated 3h ago
91%
87%
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Politics · updated 3h ago
22%
19%
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?
Movies & TV · updated 3h ago
76%
35%
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Tech · updated 3h ago
50%
44%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
AI · updated 3h ago
68%
63%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
World · updated 3h ago
28%
29%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Business · updated 3h ago
41%
29%
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politics · updated 3h ago
92%
76%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Movies & TV · updated 3h ago
46%
36%
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
AI · updated 3h ago
38%
47%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Business · updated 3h ago
75%
76%
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
AI · updated 3h ago
77%
85%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
AI · updated 3h ago
72%
54%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
Movies & TV · updated 3h ago
87%
77%
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
AI · updated 3h ago
59%
61%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?
AI · updated 1d ago
8%
21%
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?
AI · updated 1d ago
94%
57%