QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás MaduroEnds in 51dNicolás Maduro92%2.086%−63 Yes1 No1hMachado returns to Caracas and believes in Venezuela’s 2027 elections — TIMEUA.NEWSVenezuela de facto leader end of 2026?Delcy Rodríguez$1.6K 24h volEnds in 50dDelcy Rodríguez97%0.7noneMaduro Prison Time?No prison time$800.7 24h volEnds in 416dNo prison time63%1.00 Yes1 NoVenezuela presidential election scheduled by...?March 31, 2027$642.3 24h volEnds in 51dMarch 31, 202731%4.530%−1noneMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?$561.7 24h volEnds in 51d3%0.01 Yes3 NoNext Venezuelan Presidential Election WinnerMaría Corina Machado$14.2 24h volEnds in 1,147dMaría Corina Machado69%0.060%−9noneDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?$12 24h volEnds in 51d4%1.4noneWill US annex any territory in 2026?$5 24h volEnds in 51d4%0.30 Yes1 NoMaría Corina Machado arrested before 2027?$0 24h volEnds in 51d8%0.0noneNicolás Maduro released from custody by...?$0 24h volEnds in 51d2%0.01 Yes1 NoMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?$0 24h volEnds in 51d4%0.4noneMaduro guilty of all counts?$0 24h volEnds in 416d31%2.5noneWill Venezuela become 51st state?$0 24h volEnds in 51d1%0.00 Yes1 NoWill Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?$0 24h volEnds in 51d7%1.00 Yes1 NoWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?1.2m$0 24h volEnds in 110d1.2m55%1.0noneU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?$0 24h volEnds in 51d3%0.1noneUS federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?$0 24h volEnds in 51d15%2.0noneUS x Cuba economic deal by...?$0 24h volEnds in 51d6%0.00 Yes1 NoVenezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?$0 24h volEnds in 51d6%0.5none
