QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by...?June 30, 2027Ends in 232dJune 30, 202721%0.030%+9nonePutin out as President of Russia by...?June 30, 2027Ends in 232dJune 30, 20279%0.06%−3noneUkraine agrees not to join NATO by...?December 31, 2027$59.1K 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202729%1.020%−9noneUkraine peace referendum scheduled by...?June 30, 2027Ends in 232dJune 30, 202724%2.022%−2noneWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?ChinaEnds in 51dChina92%3.070%−223 Yes1 No2hRussia, Ukraine hold first peace talks since February as Trump pushes for dealIndia TodayWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?No meeting before 2027Ends in 51dNo meeting before 202796%0.094%−23 Yes1 NoZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 51d4%0.24%02 Yes2 NoTrump meets with Putin by...?November 30Ends in 20dNovember 3091%2.085%−61 Yes0 NoWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?$2.9K 24h volEnds in 51d3%1.93%0noneWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Ends in 51d10%0.00 Yes3 NoWhere will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?No meeting by December 31, 2027$1.4K 24h volEnds in 416dNo meeting by December 31, 202777%1.01 Yes1 NoWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy by...?December 31, 2027$1.1K 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202724%0.0noneWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?December 31, 2027$839.4 24h volEnds in 51dDecember 31, 202725%0.0noneAnother commercial vessel struck in Black Sea by…?November 15$595.5 24h volEnds in 51dNovember 1584%4.5noneUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?December 31, 2027$546.1 24h volEnds in 51dDecember 31, 202721%2.012%−9noneUkraine lowers conscription age by...?March 31$416.6 24h volEnds in 141dMarch 3118%3.0noneU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?December 31, 2027$395.3 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202727%1.0noneRussia x Ukraine Peace Combo$393.5 24h volEnds in 51d3%0.0noneWho will visit Ukraine by December 31?Ursula von der LeyenEnds in 51dUrsula von der Leyen48%6.059%+11noneWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?$390.3 24h volEnds in 51d6%3.50 Yes1 NoUkraine joins NATO before 2027?$379.8 24h volEnds in 51d1%0.2noneWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by...?December 31, 2027$279.4 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202717%0.5noneUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by...?December 31, 2027$213.2 24h volEnds in 416dDecember 31, 202716%7.0noneWill Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?$207.9 24h volEnds in 51d2%0.2none
