QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
How long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?2–6s$10.4K 24h volEnds in 20d2–6s44%0.550%+6noneEU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by...?December 31, 2028$9.4K 24h volEnds in 782dDecember 31, 202843%0.0noneBest Chinese AI Company end of November?Alibaba$7.4K 24h volEnds in 20dAlibaba51%16.533%−182 Yes1 NoTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?$5.8K 24h volEnds in 51d91%3.085%−62 Yes0 NoAlice Huang arrested by...?March 31, 2027$4K 24h volEnds in 232dMarch 31, 20279%6.0noneThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?Z.ai$3.5K 24h volEnds in 20dZ.ai36%11.530%−62 Yes0 NoPeople's Bank of China rate change by December 31?No Change$3.4K 24h volEnds in 51dNo Change92%2.00 Yes1 NoWill Xi meet with Takaichi by...?$2.7K 24h volEnds in 51d90%0.51 Yes0 NoWho will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?Dong Jun$1.6K 24h volEnds in 51dDong Jun6%1.0noneSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?Alibaba$1.6K 24h volEnds in 20dAlibaba50%7.53 Yes0 NoChina Annual Inflation 20260.6 – 1.0%$964.2 24h volEnds in 61d0.6 – 1.0%48%7.5noneChina Annual GDP Growth 20264.0–5.0%$876.9 24h volEnds in 82d4.0–5.0%97%0.21 Yes0 NoWill a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?#3$851.3 24h volEnds in 51d#316%1.01 Yes4 NoUS imposes new sanctions on China by...?$820 24h volEnds in 20d9%1.5noneWill Trump and Xi kiss at APEC?$534.9 24h volEnds in 20d<1%0.00 Yes1 NoWill Trump and Xi hug at APEC?$520 24h volEnds in 20d3%0.0noneBest Chinese AI Company end of January?Alibaba$507.1 24h volEnds in 82dAlibaba34%2.0noneAlice Huang federally charged by?March 31, 2027$451.8 24h volEnds in 232dMarch 31, 202718%4.0noneTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of APEC trip?$426.3 24h volEnds in 20d5%0.00 Yes1 NoSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?XiaomiEnds in 51dXiaomi41%10.530%−111 Yes0 NoDem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027?Dem sweep; China not #1$407 24h volEnds in 416dDem sweep; China not #161%10.8noneChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?4.6-4.9%$378.3 24h volEnds in 82d4.6-4.9%55%1.00 Yes1 NoThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?Z.ai$359.3 24h volEnds in 51dZ.ai23%6.51 Yes0 NoThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of January?Moonshot$192.9 24h volEnds in 82dMoonshot22%0.0none
