QuestionChancePolymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hHow the price moved today, in points.AI analystsThe average of the AI analysts' probabilities. Open a market to see each analyst's number.GapAI minus market, in points. A big gap is a lead to check.Smart money, Tiers 1–2How many of the topic's Tier 1 and Tier 2 traders hold Yes No: its ranks 1–50 by 3-month P&L, after removing bots, market makers and wash traders
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?↓ $80Ends in 20d↓ $8057%3.556%−15 Yes0 NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 20d2%1.82 Yes5 No7mUKMTO reports tanker incident in Strait of Hormuzmarketscreener.comUS imports Russian diesel by...?March 31Ends in 141dMarch 3113%11.013%00 Yes1 No1hTrump’s Plan to Import Russian Diesel Stalls on the High SeasWSJCrude Oil all time high by...?March 31, 2027Ends in 141dMarch 31, 202714%1.510%−41 Yes3 NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?December 31Ends in 51dDecember 3133%1.028%−51 Yes1 NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 51d9%1.08%−13 Yes13 NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?December 31Ends in 51dDecember 318%0.511%+32 Yes6 NoIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?December 31Ends in 51dDecember 3123%6.025%+20 Yes1 NoUS reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?December 31Ends in 51dDecember 3126%4.526%01 Yes0 NoWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of November 9 2026?↓ $85$6.2K 24h volEnds in 3d↓ $8568%0.0noneWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026Ends in 82dNo Return to Normal Traffic in 202692%1.590%−20 Yes2 NoEU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?34M+$4.1K 24h volEnds in 51d34M+49%1.01 Yes0 NoEU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?35M+$2.3K 24h volEnds in 20d35M+55%5.01 Yes1 NoWhat will gas hit by end of November?↑ $4.10$1.9K 24h volEnds in 19d↑ $4.1050%1.5noneIran charges Hormuz fees by...?$1.8K 24h volEnds in 51d8%1.07%−12 Yes1 NoGas prices on November 11?<$3.9600$1.2K 24h volEnds in 12h<$3.960096%0.0Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of November?0-4$933.6 24h volEnds in 20d0-473%5.0noneHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 9?170-189$675.9 24h volEnds in 5d170-18928%5.5noneWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?10+$459 24h volEnds in 20d10+34%2.525%−9noneWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 11?$81$421.2 24h volEnds in 20h$8197%0.0noneHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of November 9?20-24$262 24h volEnds in 5d20-2445%0.0noneHouthis enter Aden by...?December 31Ends in 51dDecember 3111%0.01 Yes0 NoAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of November?25-29$229.4 24h volEnds in 20d25-2949%1.0noneHouthis successfully target shipping by...?November 30$170 24h volEnds in 20dNovember 3024%4.5none
